Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Tonight's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 14, 2026 , 01:31 PM ET • 4 min read

DiStefano's prediction: Daulton Varsho keeps it rolling with the bat.

Daulton Varsho Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays center fielder Daulton Varsho (5).

Daulton Varsho is finding a rhythm at the plate, and with a hard-throwing right-hander taking the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers tonight, this is a great matchup for the Toronto Blue Jays outfielder to stay hot. 

Read on to see why Varsho is the featured player in my Blue Jays vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, April 14.

Blue Jays vs Brewers predictions

Blue Jays vs Brewers best bet: Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 hits (-125)

Milwaukee Brewers starter Jacob Misiorowski sits around 98 mph on his four-seamer, which he uses at a 62% rate.

Despite the early-season struggles, the Toronto Blue Jays have fared well against the fastball and should match up well against the youngster.

Daulton Varsho leads the Blue Jays in hits against the four-seamer with a .365 average and a 60% hard-hit rate.

Varsho has recorded a knock in four straight games while batting .412 over that span.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Jacob Misiorowski gives up a lot of big contact, ranking in the 36th percentile for hard-hit rate against. 

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Blue Jays vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)

Kevin Gausman has had a lot of success against this lineup throughout his career, with the Brewers hitting just .177 with a .505 OPS against him. The last time the right-hander saw Milwaukee, he went seven complete innings, allowing just four hits. 

William Contreras is 0-for-6 against Gausman with five strikeouts. The Brewers catcher also has a 40% K-rate against the splitter over the last two seasons.

Blue Jays vs Brewers SGP

  • Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 hits
  • Kevin Gausman Under 4.5 hits
  • William Contreras Over 0.5 strikeouts
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Blue Jays vs Brewers home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+425)

Varsho has handled fastballs extremely well to begin the season, and Misiorowski has shown a tendency to give up hard contact when he utilizes the heater. 

That could set up the Jays outfielder for his third home run in four games.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 4-10, -3.25 units
  • SGPs: 2-12, -4.50 units
  • HR picks: 2-12, -1.80 units

Blue Jays vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +110 | Milwaukee -130
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-210) | Milwaukee -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 7 (-110) | Under 7 (-110)

Blue Jays vs Brewers trend

Toronto has hit the F5 team total Under in 12 of its last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 46% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Brewers.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Brewers and game info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Tuesday, April 14, 2026
First pitch 7:40 p.m. ET
TV Brewers.TV, SNO
Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman
0-1, 2.08 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Jacob Misiorowski
(1-1, 3.31 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Brewers latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Brewers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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