Kentucky Derby Predictions and Best Bets: Expert Analysis for 2026 Run for the Roses

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 27, 2026 , 04:16 PM ET • 4 min read

Our horse racing experts present their Kentucky Derby best bets for 2026.

The Puma Kentucky Derby horse racing
Photo By - Reuters Connect. The Puma works out at Churchill Downs prior to the 2026 Kentucky Derby.

Need help making 2026 Kentucky Derby predictions? Our horse racing experts have sifted through all 24 "Run for the Roses" entrants and are here for you, delivering their Kentucky Derby best bets for Saturday, May 2.

This page will be updated frequently during the run-up to "The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports," so check back regularly for our analysis of the Kentucky Derby odds!

2026 Kentucky Derby predictions

Kentucky Derby best bets Cost
$10 win No. 7 Danon Bourbon (+2000) $10

$1 exacta box:

No. 6 (+600), No. 7 (+2000),

No. 9 (+1000), No. 12 (+800)

$12

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Racing, one of our best Kentucky Derby betting sites.

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2026 Kentucky Derby best bets and expert analysis

No. 7 Danon Bourbon to win (+2000 at FanDuel Racing)

Danon Bourbon gives Japan a great chance to score its elusive first Kentucky Derby victory.

The speedy son of Maxfield is a perfect 3-for-3 lifetime, highlighted by a convincing win in the Fukuryu Stakes. 

Danon Bourbon posted the fastest winning time in that race in over 20 years.

Exacta box: No. 6 Commandment, No. 7 Danon Bourbon, No. 9 The Puma, No. 12 Chief Wallabee

Danon Bourbon is my top win pick, and I think the strongest U.S. preps for the Kentucky Derby happened in Florida this year.

Commandment took both the Florida Derby and Fountain of Youth as part of his four-race winning streak. The Puma won the Tampa Bay Derby and was a close second to Commandment in the Florida Derby.

Chief Wallabee wasn't beaten by much in the Fountain of Youth before running third in the Florida Derby.


More Kentucky Derby info


Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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