The 43rd annual Breeders’ Cup gets underway with "Future Stars Friday" on October 30 at Keeneland Race Course, showcasing some of the most promising two-year-old talent in horse racing.
My Breeders' Cup predictions are diving into the Breeders’ Cup odds for Friday’s races, including the Juvenile Turf Sprint and the featured Juvenile, to find the best value on the board. Join me for my free picks as I analyze opening day at the Thoroughbred World Championships.
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint odds, prediction and best bet
- Race: Keeneland Race 6
- Post time: 2:55 p.m. ET
- TV: USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV
| Post | Horse | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moonrise | +1200 |
| 2 | Good to Be King | +1200 |
| 3 | Libertango | +250 |
| 4 | Brickyard Belle | +300 |
| 5 | Mussab | +1500 |
| 6 | Velozee | +2000 |
| 7 | Crownbreaker | +2000 |
| 8 | Force Noir | +800 |
| 9 | Final Objective | +800 |
| 10 | Harper's Corner | +800 |
| 11 | Hell of a Spin | +1500 |
| 12 | Primetime Emmy | +1500 |
| 13 (AE) | Ruiva | +1200 |
| 14 (AE) | Wood Island | +1500 |
| 15 (AE) | Adonius | +1200 |
| 16 (AE) | Love a Warrior | +3000 |
| 17 (AE) | Fanshell Beach | +3000 |
Odds as of 10-29.
Win pick: Libertango
No. 3 Libertango (5-2, morning-line favorite) has lost only twice in five lifetime starts, running second to a next-out winner each time. Her most recent defeat was to Sun Goddess, who figures to be odds-on in the Juvenile Fillies Turf.
Flavien Prat climbs aboard the daughter of No Nay Never, who's outrun 40 others in her two Group triumphs.
Place pick: Brickyard Belle
No. 4 Brickyard Belle (3-1) is 2-for-2 lifetime and brings a bullet turf work into this start. She was last seen closing like a shot to catch Harper's Corner in the Matron Stakes at Belmont Park.
Manny Franco retains the assignment for Miguel Clement.
Show pick: Mussab
No. 5 Mussab (15-1) gets the nod for third over No. 8 Force Noir and No. 10 Harper's Corner. Not only is he a bit faster than those two on paper, but he's also won three in a row.
Mussab sheds weight and has the tactical speed to create his own racing luck. The extra half-furlong shouldn't inhibit him, but the class jump from a Group 3 may.
Best bet: $2 exacta 3,4/3,4,5,8,10, $2 exacta box 3/4, $4 win 5 ($24)
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Breeders' Cup Juvenile odds, prediction and best bet
- Race: Keeneland Race 9
- Post time: 4:55 p.m. ET
- TV: USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV
| Post | Horse | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Damavand | +2000 |
| 3 | Salahudin | +600 |
| 4 | Earth Song | +2000 |
| 5 | Hughes | +100 |
| 6 | American History | +450 |
| 7 | Coach Pope | +400 |
| 8 | He Is No Lie | +1500 |
Odds as of 10-29.
Win pick: American History
No. 6 American History (9-2) is training forwardly for five-time Breeders' Cup Juvenile winner Todd Pletcher after upsetting Coach Pope in the Breeders' Futurity over this course.
His 2-for-2 record comes despite some less-than-perfect trips. If he can save ground and learn to switch leads, the son of Constitution should give Hughes all he can handle in the lane.
Place pick: Hughes
It's fair to wonder who No. 5 Hughes (EVEN, morning-line favorite) has beaten in his four career starts, all in California. None of his rivals that ran in the money behind him returned to win next time out, and he's never faced more than five foes.
Still, he can't be taken lightly off his huge American Pharoah Stakes effort for Bob Baffert, who knows a thing or two about winning at the Breeders' Cup. Prat sees fit to climb aboard.
Show pick: Coach Pope
No. 7 Coach Pope (4-1) burned chalkplayers in the Breeders' Futurity, with no obvious excuse. His latest work for Ken McPeek was also not encouraging. Still, he's logical for third off his first two well-rated efforts.
Best bet: $10 exacta box 5/6 ($20)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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