sponsorship banner background
Kalshi Sports logo
Player Team Jordan Addison anytime TD
🔥 FEATURED TRADE

Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Nov. 9, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark
New

Covers Betslip

  • Build Parlays, SGPs & SGP+
  • Compare sportsbook odds & SGP Odds
  • Place bets at sportsbooks in 1 click

Click odds to add to your betslip

Predicted Score

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

25.79 @ 21.74

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Bills vs Vikings · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

25.79

-3.5 +100

o45.0 -109

-186

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

21.74

+3.5 -115

u45.5 -110

+165

Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF @ Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail MIN Mon, Nov 9 • 8:15 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Josh Allen logo Josh Allen o28.5 Rushing Yards (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Josh Allen is among the top-rated QBs using the run against blitzing defenses at PFF and has 19 scrambles for 204 rushing yards heading into Week 9. There are also injury concerns on the left side of the Bills offensive line heading into MNF, with Alec Anderson and Dion Dawkins listed as questionable. Player forecasts have Allen’s rushing output between 29 and 39.5 yards, with the majority of projections north of 30 yards, My number sits at 35 gains on the ground from Allen versus the Vikes.

Receiving Yards
Jordan Addison logo Jordan Addison o39.5 Receiving Yards (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Addison is a home run threat for Minnesota, topping the team in air yards and receptions of 30+ yards (three) entering Week 9. The Buffalo secondary has been busted for big plays, giving up the sixth most “explosive” passes (27). Addison drew five targets for just two catches and 21 yards in Wentz’s first full start in Week 2. But going back to last season, Addison had a total of 30 targets for 21 catches in Wentz’s four starts, averaging 77.25 yards per game on 14.7 yards per reception. My projections have him closer to 50 yards on MNF.

View 22 Picks
New

Covers Betslip

  • Build Parlays, SGPs & SGP+
  • Compare sportsbook odds & SGP Odds
  • Place bets at sportsbooks in 1 click

Click odds to add to your betslip

Washington Commanders image thumbnail WAS @ New York Giants image thumbnail NYG Thu, Nov 12 • 8:15 PM ET
Receiving Yards
Austin Ekeler logo Austin Ekeler o6.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Veteran RB Austin Ekeler is getting more run with the Commanders after the injury to Croskey-Merritt. He finished Week 9's loss to L.A. playing 45% of snaps - a season high. Ekeler drew three targets for two catches and 18 yards receiving, with a long of 12 yards. He's had 11 or more receiving yards in three of his five games since joining the Commies in October. His receiving total ranges from this low of 6.5 to as high as 9.5 at some markets.

View Pick
New England Patriots image thumbnail NE @ Detroit Lions image thumbnail DET Sun, Nov 15 • 9:30 AM ET
Total
New England Patriots image thumbnail Detroit Lions image thumbnail u51.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Patriots’ thinning pass protection has thrown quarterback Drake Maye into the fire. He’s been sacked nine times in the last three games, with four coming on Sunday. Detroit’s defense is second overall in sacks (27) and ranks among the Top 10 teams in pressure rate and pass rush win rate at EPSN. The Lions lit up the scoreboard for 164 points in the opening five games but have put up tallies of 19, 19 and 20 points in their last three outings. However, we’re still seeing Detroit draw tall totals, like the one in Munich. 

View Pick
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF @ New York Jets image thumbnail NYJ Sun, Nov 15 • 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Buffalo Bills image thumbnail BUF -7.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

With the Jets allowing the highest EPA per dropback across the past four weeks, my first Week 10 click is on the Bills. New York is a candidate to unload veterans ahead of the trade deadline, and Buffalo heads into Monday Night Football in Week 9 averaging the most points per game while ranking third in offensive DVOA. The Bills pull away in Week 10, and I suspect this number will dip closer to a double-digit spread by Sunday.

View Pick
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail LA @ Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail ARI Sun, Nov 15 • 4:05 PM ET
Total
Los Angeles Rams image thumbnail Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail u47.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Rams returned Myles Garrett in Week 9, and this stop unit instantly got a shot in the arm, scoring four sacks and two takeaways. Los Angeles took down Washington 20-13 and stayed well short of the closing total of 47.5 points. The Arizona Cardinals aren’t providing much push back. They’re fine with either Gardner Minshew or rookie Carson Beck under center after trading Jacoby Brissett last week. That’s asking a lot of those QBs, considering the porous pass protection.

View Pick
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF @ Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail DAL Sun, Nov 15 • 4:25 PM ET
Spread
San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF -4.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

This spread is going to swell quickly with early play on the Niners pushing the line through dead numbers and likely landing on San Francisco -6 at some point this week. Dallas’ defense isn’t ready for the 49ers’ jelly and this Kyle Shanahan vs. Brian Schottenheimer/Christian Parker matchup is about as one-sided as Godzilla vs. Bambi (Google it). San Fran could also have some WRs back in action just time to shred the Cowboys’ Swiss-cheese secondary.

View Pick
Pittsburgh Steelers image thumbnail PIT @ Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN Sun, Nov 15 • 8:20 PM ET
Spread
Cincinnati Bengals image thumbnail CIN -3.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Bengals have allowed the fourth-lowest rushing success rate through three games out of their Week 6 bye, and the Cinny offense is clicking with 37.3 points per game and the highest EPA per dropback during the stretch. Pittsburgh entered its Week 9 bye relying on the running game while ranked 22nd in passing DVOA with the fifth-lowest EPA per dropback, so look for the Cincinnati defense to make enough stops for the offense to pull away in this critical AFC North bout.

View Pick

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.