Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has earned 27.5% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Seattle's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 35.6%. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has compiled quite a few more air yards this year (121.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 92.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 57.6. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been one of the best possession receivers in football, catching a stellar 76.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a huge -11.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 9th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.4% red zone pass rate. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (40.4 per game) this year.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. While Kenneth Walker III has been responsible for 2.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Seattle's passing offense near the end zone in this contest at 9.1%. The Minnesota defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may suffer. The Vikings defense has conceded the 6th-most receiving touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.55 per game this year. The Minnesota defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a huge -11.5-point underdog in this week's contest. The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 9th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.4% red zone pass rate. Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume. The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (40.4 per game) this year.