JAC -6.0 o42.0
TEN 6.0 u42.0
ATL -2.5 o39.5
NYJ 2.5 u39.5
LA -10.5 o45.0
CAR 10.5 u45.0
NO 5.0 o42.0
MIA -5.0 u42.0
ARI 3.5 o44.5
TB -3.5 u44.5
SF -4.5 o35.5
CLE 4.5 u35.5
HOU 3.5 o45.0
IND -3.5 u45.0
MIN 13.0 o41.0
SEA -13.0 u41.0
BUF -3.0 o46.0
PIT 3.0 u46.0
LV 10.0 o41.0
LAC -10.0 u41.0
DEN -5.5 o42.5
WAS 5.5 u42.5
NYG 7.5 o46.5
NE -7.5 u46.5
Final Nov 27
GB 31 3.0 o48.0
DET 24 -3.0 u48.0
Final Nov 27
KC 28 -3.5 o53.0
DAL 31 3.5 u53.0
Final Nov 27
CIN 32 7.5 o52.5
BAL 14 -7.5 u52.5
Final Nov 28
CHI 24 7.5 o43.0
PHI 15 -7.5 u43.0
Arizona 4th NFC West3-8
Tampa Bay 1st NFC South6-5

Arizona @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Picks |Consensus |Props |Trends |Top User Picks

ARI vs TB Picks

NFL Picks
Passing Yards
Jacoby Brissett logo Jacoby Brissett o266.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Best Odds
o263.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Zak Hanshew image
Zak Hanshew
Betting Analyst
o264.5  -113
 -
o266.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o263.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o264.5  -115
These are quick bet odds

Brissett has passed for no fewer than 258 passing yards in all six starts this season, and he's hit the Over on this line four times.

Read Full Analysis
Score a Touchdown
Michael Carter logo Michael Carter Score a Touchdown (Yes: +210)
Best Odds
 +220 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
 -
 +220
 +140
 -
 -

There are plenty of moving parts in this matchup with Marvin Harrison potentially returning, Baker Mayfield’s status uncertain, and injuries piling up in the Arizona backfield. Emari Demercado missed Thursday’s practice with an ankle issue, and Trey Benson doesn’t appear close to returning. That leaves Bam Knight (+125) and Michael Carter (+210). The offense has moved the ball well under Jacoby Brissett, and both backs played roughly 50% of the snaps last week. They each saw two carries inside the 5-yard line, which pushes me toward the longer price on Michael Carter in what’s otherwise a coin-flip TD spot.

Spread
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo TB -2.5 (-115)
Best Odds
-4.5 -102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
-4.5  -105
These are quick bet odds
-3.5  -110
-4.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
-4.0  -110
These are quick bet odds
-3.5  -114
These are quick bet odds

The Cardinals are 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS in their last nine games while ranking 28th in defensive success rate. Tampa Bay was a 6.5-point home favorite on the lookahead line before that swung to -2.5 after QB Baker Mayfield was injured in Sunday night's ugly loss to the Rams. He was diagnosed with a low grade sprain in his non-throwing shoulder which means there's a decent chance the tough QB will play on Sunday. Chris Godwin returned from a six-week absence in Week 12, and standout RB Bucky Irving is expected to return this week after missing the last two months. That puts the betting value on the Bucs, who have since moved to -3. I'd bet that number but you can still get the -2.5 at -115 if you shop around. 

Score a Touchdown
Bucky Irving logo
Bucky Irving Score a Touchdown (Yes: +185)
Projection 0.55 (Yes)
Best Odds
 +185 FanDuel
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
 +155
 -110
 +185
 -
 +142
At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (59.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.. This year, the weak Arizona Cardinals defense has been gouged for a monstrous 0.36 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the highest rate in football.. The Cardinals safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.
+185 at FanDuel
Receptions Made
Trey McBride logo
Trey McBride u6.5 Receptions Made (+128)
Projection 6.29 (Under)
Best Odds
u6.5 +128 FanDuel
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u6.5  +114
 -
u6.5  +128
 -
u6.5  +121
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the model to run only 64.1 plays on offense in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.. As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year.. Trey McBride's 76.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 79.2% rate.. The Buccaneers safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
+128 at FanDuel
Passing Completions
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett u24.5 Passing Completions (+105)
Projection 21.79 (Under)
Best Odds
u25.5 -128 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u24.5  -101
 -
u25.5  -128
These are quick bet odds
u24.5  +100
These are quick bet odds
u24.5  +105
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the model to run only 64.1 plays on offense in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.. As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-lowest rate in football vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (68.6% Adjusted Completion%).. The Buccaneers safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
-128 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Attempts
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett u37.5 Passing Attempts (-102)
Projection 35.11 (Under)
Best Odds
u37.5 -102 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u37.5  -112
 -
u37.5  -102
These are quick bet odds
u37.5  -125
These are quick bet odds
u37.5  -108
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the model to run only 64.1 plays on offense in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.
-102 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Passing Yards
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett u264.5 Passing Yards (-111)
Projection 231.86 (Under)
Best Odds
u266.5 -114 FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u264.5  -111
 -
u266.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u263.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u264.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the model to run only 64.1 plays on offense in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.. As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-lowest rate in football vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (68.6% Adjusted Completion%).. The Buccaneers safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
-114 at FanDuel
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Emeka Egbuka logo
Emeka Egbuka o57.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 66.98 (Over)
Best Odds
o57.5 -112 DraftKings
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o57.5  -112
 -
o58.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o63.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
o58.5  -113
These are quick bet odds
Receiving Yards
Trey McBride logo
Trey McBride u68.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 63.55 (Under)
Best Odds
u71.5 -115 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u68.5  -112
 -
u68.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
u71.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
u69.5  -115
These are quick bet odds
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the model to run only 64.1 plays on offense in this game: the 11th-fewest among all teams this week.. As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year.. Trey McBride's 76.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 79.2% rate.. Trey McBride's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.62 figure last season.. This year, the stout Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 6.6 yards.
-115 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Rushing Yards
Bucky Irving logo
Bucky Irving o38.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 50.49 (Over)
Best Odds
o38.5 -110 DraftKings
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o38.5  -110
 -
o40.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o38.5  -118
These are quick bet odds
o39.5  -121
These are quick bet odds
This game's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3 points.. The Arizona Cardinals defense owns the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, conceding 4.95 adjusted yards-per-carry.
-110 at DraftKings
Rushing Yards
Jacoby Brissett logo
Jacoby Brissett o13.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Projection 17.07 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 -120 BetMGM
These are quick bet odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o13.5  -110
 -
o12.5  -114
These are quick bet odds
o10.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
o12.5  -120
These are quick bet odds
The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a massive 62.3 per game on average).. After accounting for 5.6% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Jacoby Brissett has had a larger role in the ground game this season, currently comprising 12.2%.. Jacoby Brissett is positioned as one of the best quarterbacks in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a terrific 2.57 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 87th percentile.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
-120 at BetMGM
These are quick bet odds

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ARI vs TB Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Spread

69% picking Tampa Bay

31%
69%

Total Picks ARI 238, TB 522

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Total

60% picking Arizona vs Tampa Bay to go Over

60%
40%

Total PicksARI 280, TB 184

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -104
45 -114

ARI vs TB Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating
Bucky Irving
B. Irving
running back RB • Tampa Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Yes
+185
fanduel
fanduel
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.55
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (59.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This year, the weak Arizona Cardinals defense has been gouged for a monstrous 0.36 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the highest rate in football. The Cardinals safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.

Bucky Irving logo

Bucky Irving

RB • TB vs. ARI
Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.55
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.55

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (59.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This year, the weak Arizona Cardinals defense has been gouged for a monstrous 0.36 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the highest rate in football. The Cardinals safeties profile as the 7th-best group of safeties in football this year when it comes to run defense.
Michael Carter
M. Carter
running back RB • Arizona
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.14
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Yes
+220
bet365
bet365
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.14
Best Odds

Emari Demercado
E. Demercado
running back RB • Arizona
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.11
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Yes
+180
bet365
bet365
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.11
Best Odds

Bam Knight
B. Knight
running back RB • Arizona
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.44
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Yes
+140
fanduel
fanduel
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.44
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

ARI vs TB Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'qlh' picks Arizona vs Tampa Bay to go Over (49.5)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -104
45 -114
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'qlh' is picking Arizona to cover (+6.0)

qlh is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-2-0) and +5800 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Spread

'Foodbank' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-6.5)

Foodbank is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Total

'Foodbank' picks Arizona vs Tampa Bay to go Over (49.5)

Foodbank is #10 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (8-3-0) and +4700 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -104
45 -114
Total

'geoff1954' picks Arizona vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.0)

geoff1954 is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-2-1) and +5800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -104
45 -114
Spread

'geoff1954' is picking Arizona to cover (+2.5)

geoff1954 is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (8-2-1) and +5800 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Spread

'Octavio' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

Octavio is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Spread

'BigG39' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-3.0)

BigG39 is #3 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5250 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Total

'Octavio' picks Arizona vs Tampa Bay to go Over (44.5)

Octavio is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -104
45 -114
Total

'BigG39' picks Arizona vs Tampa Bay to go Under (44.5)

BigG39 is #3 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (8-2-0) and +5250 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -104
45 -114
Spread

'abx' is picking Arizona to cover (+3.5)

abx is #6 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Spread

'mrmrsbears' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-6.5)

mrmrsbears is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Total

'mrmrsbears' picks Arizona vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.0)

mrmrsbears is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (7-1-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -104
45 -114
Total

'Lizak187' picks Arizona vs Tampa Bay to go Over (43.0)

Lizak187 is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
44.5 -104
45 -114
Spread

'Lizak187' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-2.5)

Lizak187 is #8 on picking games that Tampa Bay is in with a record of (6-4-0) and +4750 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175
Spread

'TheGambler34' is picking Tampa Bay to cover (-2.5)

TheGambler34 is #9 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +4350 units on the season.

Spread
ARI
TB
Spread
+4.0 -110
-2.5 -175

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