North Texas 7th AAC0-0

Indiana 4th Big Ten0-0

12:00PM ET 12:00PM ET · Sep 05, 2026

North Texas vs Indiana Picks & Props

UNT vs IU Picks

NCAAF Picks

Spread

IU -40.5 (-103)

Best Odds

-41.5 -105

Pick made: 17 hours ago

-40.5 -110

-40.5 +100

-40.5 -108

-40.5 -110

-41.5 -105

-40.5 -112

-40.5 -110

-39.5 -110

According to 247Sports.com, Indiana is ranked eighth in the transfer portal rankings this offseason. The Hoosiers lost zero "portal starts" to FBS schools, per college football analyst Phil Steele.

The North Texas Mean Green is another non-Power 4 school to be pillaged in the transfer portal. After finishing 12-2 last season, North Texas's now-former head coach, Eric Morris, accepted a better job with Oklahoma State and took a ton of players with him.

Read Full Analysis

2 LEG PARLAY

IU -40.5

Spread

u56.5

Total

Bet now

+446

Pick made: 17 hours ago

Indiana's offseason acquisition was former TCU Horned Frogs QB Josh Hoover, who ranked second in the Big XII in passing touchdowns (29) last season and third in passer rating. Hoover is a bigger transfer portal addition than 2025 Heisman-winning QB Fernando Mendoza at this time last year.

When you have a team as good as the Hoosiers, the offense is competing with the defense. So, for every Indiana touchdown, its defense will be motivated to get a 3-and-out so it doesn't look like the weaker side of the ball.

Read Full Analysis

Passing Yards

Josh Hoover o224.5 Passing Yards (-140)

Projection 280.5474 (Over)

Best Odds

o224.5 -140

Pick made: 8 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o246.5 -115

o249.5 -111

o234.5 -114

o224.5 -140

o233.5 -120

o238.5 -115

o234.5 -120

Rushing Yards

Turbo Richard o77.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 91.0053 (Over)

Best Odds

o77.5 -114

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o78.5 -115

o79.5 -113

o77.5 -114

o79.5 -110

o79.5 -108

o79.5 -121

o79.5 -110

Receiving Yards

Charlie Becker o59.5 Receiving Yards (+114)

Projection 77.7374 (Over)

Best Odds

o52.5 -115

Pick made: 14 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o52.5 -115

o59.5 +114

o58.5 -114

o59.5 -110

o59.5 -107

o56.5 -117

o54.5 -125

Receiving Yards

Nick Marsh o63.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Projection 74.4155 (Over)

Best Odds

o63.5 -114

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

o68.5 -115

o69.5 -109

o63.5 -114

o69.5 +115

o69.5 +106

o64.5 -115

Receiving Yards

Turbo Richard o6.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Projection 9.8117 (Over)

Best Odds

o6.5 -110

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o6.5 -110

Receptions

Turbo Richard u1.5 Receptions (-240)

Projection 1.015 (Under)

Best Odds

u1.5 -240

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -240

Carries

Turbo Richard o11.5 Carries (-125)

Projection 13.2665 (Over)

Best Odds

o11.5 -125

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o11.5 -125

Completions

Josh Hoover o18.5 Completions (-105)

Projection 19.3251 (Over)

Best Odds

o18.5 -105

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o18.5 -105

Spread

66% picking North Texas

66% 66%

34% 34%

Total Picks UNT 269, IU 140

Spread

UNT

Spread

+41.5 -118

-41.5 -105

Total

46% picking North Texas vs Indiana to go Under

54% 54%

46% 46%

Total PicksUNT 144, IU 123

Total

Over

Under

Total

55.5 -110

57.5 -115

UNT vs IU Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
SPREAD UNT +40.5 spread 39.90 PROJECTION -0.6 DIFFERENCE 5.31% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds BetRivers Best Odds +41.5 -118 +40.5 -108 +40.5 -120 +40.5 -112 +40.5 -110 +40.5 -110 +41.5 -118 +40.5 -115 +40.5 -110 +39.5 -110 UNT +40.5 spread PROJECTION 39.90 PROJECTION -0.6 DIFFERENCE 5.31% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. +41.5 -118
PASSING YARDS J. Hoover (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards 280.55 OVER PROJECTION +56.0 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o224.5 -140 - o246.5 -115 o249.5 -111 o234.5 -114 o224.5 -140 o233.5 -120 o238.5 -115 o234.5 -120 - J. Hoover (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 280.55 OVER PROJECTION +56.0 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o224.5 -140
RUSHING YARDS IU T. Richard (RB) o77.5 Rushing Yards 91.01 OVER PROJECTION +13.5 DIFFERENCE 25.05% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o77.5 -114 - o78.5 -115 o79.5 -113 o77.5 -114 o79.5 -110 o79.5 -108 o79.5 -121 o79.5 -110 - IU T. Richard (RB) o77.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 91.01 OVER PROJECTION +13.5 DIFFERENCE 25.05% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o77.5 -114
RUSHING YARDS J. Hoover (QB) o11.5 Rushing Yards 12.57 OVER PROJECTION +1.1 DIFFERENCE -7.54% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o11.5 -115 - o11.5 -115 - - - - - - - J. Hoover (QB) o11.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 12.57 OVER PROJECTION +1.1 DIFFERENCE -7.54% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o11.5 -115
RECEIVING YARDS IU C. Becker (WR) o59.5 Receiving Yards 77.74 OVER PROJECTION +18.2 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o52.5 -115 - o52.5 -115 o59.5 +114 o58.5 -114 o59.5 -110 o59.5 -107 o56.5 -117 o54.5 -125 - IU C. Becker (WR) o59.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 77.74 OVER PROJECTION +18.2 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o52.5 -115
RECEIVING YARDS IU N. Marsh (WR) o63.5 Receiving Yards 74.42 OVER PROJECTION +10.9 DIFFERENCE 24.56% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o63.5 -114 - o68.5 -115 o69.5 -109 o63.5 -114 o69.5 +115 o69.5 +106 o64.5 -115 o64.5 -115 - IU N. Marsh (WR) o63.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 74.42 OVER PROJECTION +10.9 DIFFERENCE 24.56% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o63.5 -114
RECEIVING YARDS IU T. Richard (RB) o6.5 Receiving Yards 9.81 OVER PROJECTION +3.3 DIFFERENCE 23.55% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o6.5 -110 - o6.5 -110 - - - - - - - IU T. Richard (RB) o6.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 9.81 OVER PROJECTION +3.3 DIFFERENCE 23.55% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o6.5 -110
RECEPTIONS IU T. Richard (RB) u1.5 Receptions 1.02 UNDER PROJECTION -0.5 DIFFERENCE 3.79% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u1.5 -240 - u1.5 -240 - - - - - - - IU T. Richard (RB) u1.5 Receptions PROJECTION 1.02 UNDER PROJECTION -0.5 DIFFERENCE 3.79% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u1.5 -240
RECEPTIONS IU C. Becker (WR) o3.5 Receptions 4.01 OVER PROJECTION +0.5 DIFFERENCE -5.27% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o3.5 -152 - - - o3.5 -152 - - - - - IU C. Becker (WR) o3.5 Receptions PROJECTION 4.01 OVER PROJECTION +0.5 DIFFERENCE -5.27% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o3.5 -152
RECEPTIONS IU N. Marsh (WR) o4.5 Receptions 4.74 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -12.63% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o4.5 -154 - - - o4.5 -154 - - - - - IU N. Marsh (WR) o4.5 Receptions PROJECTION 4.74 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -12.63% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o4.5 -154
CARRIES IU T. Richard (RB) o11.5 Carries 13.27 OVER PROJECTION +1.8 DIFFERENCE 12.69% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o11.5 -125 - o11.5 -125 - - - - - - - IU T. Richard (RB) o11.5 Carries PROJECTION 13.27 OVER PROJECTION +1.8 DIFFERENCE 12.69% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o11.5 -125
CARRIES J. Hoover (QB) u4.5 Carries 4.40 UNDER PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE -2.72% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u4.5 -155 - u4.5 -155 - - - - - - - J. Hoover (QB) u4.5 Carries PROJECTION 4.40 UNDER PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE -2.72% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u4.5 -155
COMPLETIONS J. Hoover (QB) o18.5 Completions 19.33 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 6.22% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o18.5 -105 - o18.5 -105 - - - - - - - J. Hoover (QB) o18.5 Completions PROJECTION 19.33 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 6.22% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o18.5 -105

SPREAD

UNT +40.5 spread

39.90 PROJECTION

-0.6 DIFFERENCE

5.31% EV

Rating:

+41.5 -118

+40.5 -108

+40.5 -120

+40.5 -112

+40.5 -110

+41.5 -118

+40.5 -115

+40.5 -110

+39.5 -110

PASSING YARDS

J. Hoover (QB) o224.5 Passing Yards

280.55 OVER PROJECTION

+56.0 DIFFERENCE

27.2% EV

Rating:

o224.5 -140

o246.5 -115

o249.5 -111

o234.5 -114

o224.5 -140

o233.5 -120

o238.5 -115

o234.5 -120

RUSHING YARDS

T. Richard (RB) o77.5 Rushing Yards

91.01 OVER PROJECTION

+13.5 DIFFERENCE

25.05% EV

Rating:

o77.5 -114

o78.5 -115

o79.5 -113

o77.5 -114

o79.5 -110

o79.5 -108

o79.5 -121

o79.5 -110

RUSHING YARDS

J. Hoover (QB) o11.5 Rushing Yards

12.57 OVER PROJECTION

+1.1 DIFFERENCE

-7.54% EV

Rating:

o11.5 -115

RECEIVING YARDS

C. Becker (WR) o59.5 Receiving Yards

77.74 OVER PROJECTION

+18.2 DIFFERENCE

27.2% EV

Rating:

o52.5 -115

o59.5 +114

o58.5 -114

o59.5 -110

o59.5 -107

o56.5 -117

o54.5 -125

RECEIVING YARDS

N. Marsh (WR) o63.5 Receiving Yards

74.42 OVER PROJECTION

+10.9 DIFFERENCE

24.56% EV

Rating:

o63.5 -114

o68.5 -115

o69.5 -109

o63.5 -114

o69.5 +115

o69.5 +106

o64.5 -115

RECEIVING YARDS

T. Richard (RB) o6.5 Receiving Yards

9.81 OVER PROJECTION

+3.3 DIFFERENCE

23.55% EV

Rating:

o6.5 -110

RECEPTIONS

T. Richard (RB) u1.5 Receptions

1.02 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.5 DIFFERENCE

3.79% EV

Rating:

u1.5 -240

RECEPTIONS

C. Becker (WR) o3.5 Receptions

4.01 OVER PROJECTION

+0.5 DIFFERENCE

-5.27% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -152

RECEPTIONS

N. Marsh (WR) o4.5 Receptions

4.74 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

-12.63% EV

Rating:

o4.5 -154

CARRIES

T. Richard (RB) o11.5 Carries

13.27 OVER PROJECTION

+1.8 DIFFERENCE

12.69% EV

Rating:

o11.5 -125

CARRIES

J. Hoover (QB) u4.5 Carries

4.40 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.1 DIFFERENCE

-2.72% EV

Rating:

u4.5 -155

COMPLETIONS

J. Hoover (QB) o18.5 Completions

19.33 OVER PROJECTION

+0.8 DIFFERENCE

6.22% EV

Rating:

o18.5 -105

Recent Form Trends

Over is 6-1 in Mean Green last 7 road games.
Over is 6-1 in Mean Green last 7 games as a road favorite.
Mean Green are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Over is 7-2 in Hoosiers last 9 home games.
Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Mean Green last 5 games overall.
Over is 7-2 in Hoosiers last 9 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Mean Green last 5 games as a favorite.

ROI Trends

North Texas Trends

North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 9% ROI)

North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 64% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 16% ROI)

UNT

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

North Texas have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)

UNT

Game Line - Spread - FT

Compare odds

North Texas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 12 games (-10.20 Units / -67% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

North Texas has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.00 Units / -56% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

North Texas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.25 Units / -46% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

North Texas has only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.25 Units / -46% ROI)

Indiana Trends

Indiana has hit the Moneyline in their last 15 games (+16.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 2% ROI)

UNT

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 12% ROI)

UNT

Game Line - Moneyline - 1Q

Compare odds

Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)

UNT

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Indiana has only hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 15 games (-6.30 Units / -37% ROI)

Indiana has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 9 games at home (-5.70 Units / -58% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Indiana has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 16 games (-5.55 Units / -30% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Indiana has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.95 Units / -42% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

North Texas Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
All Mean Green Money Leaders

Indiana Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
All Hoosiers Money Leaders

Top User Picks

North Texas vs Indiana Picks & Props

UNT vs IU Picks

UNT vs IU Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

66% picking North Texas

46% picking North Texas vs Indiana to go Under

UNT vs IU Props

How is Value calculated?

Recent Form Trends

ROI Trends

North Texas Trends

North Texas has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.45 Units / 9% ROI)

North Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 64% ROI)

North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 16% ROI)

North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)

North Texas have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)

North Texas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 12 games (-10.20 Units / -67% ROI)

North Texas has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.00 Units / -56% ROI)

North Texas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.25 Units / -46% ROI)

North Texas has only hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 14 games (-7.25 Units / -46% ROI)

Indiana Trends

Indiana has hit the Moneyline in their last 15 games (+16.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 2% ROI)

Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+12.50 Units / 12% ROI)

Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 34% ROI)

Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)

Indiana has only hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 15 games (-6.30 Units / -37% ROI)

Indiana has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 9 games at home (-5.70 Units / -58% ROI)

Indiana has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 16 games (-5.55 Units / -30% ROI)

Indiana has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.95 Units / -42% ROI)

UNT vs IU Top User Picks

User Picks

North Texas Team Leaders

Indiana Team Leaders

Pages Related to This Topic

Weather Forecast