Texas State Pac-120-0

$Texas Longhorns logo$

Texas 15th SEC0-0

3:30PM ET 3:30PM ET · Sep 05, 2026

Texas State vs Texas Picks & Props

TXST vs TEX Picks

NCAAF Picks

Spread

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ TEX -30.5 (+101)

Best Odds

-30.5 -105

Pick made: 14 hours ago

-29.5 -108

-29.5 -110

-29.5 -112

-29.5 -107

-29.5 +100

-30.5 -105

Given their slow start to last season (0-3 against the spread in its first three games), I'm expecting Texas to make a statement in Week 1 and to put a 50-burger on the Texas State Bobcats Saturday.

The Longhorns have beaten the brakes off inferior, non-conference opponents in recent years, featuring a 55-0 win over Sam Houston State last season and three 48+ victories over non-Power 4 schools in 2024.

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2 LEG PARLAY

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$

TEX -30.5

Spread

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$

o59.5

Total

Bet now

+258

Pick made: 14 hours ago

Texas QB Arch Manning has more than enough help with last year's team leader in catches, receiving yards and receiving touchdowns, WR Ryan Wingo, and preseason first-team All-America WR Cam Coleman.

Bobcats dual-threat QB Brad Jackson and his two 1,000+ yard receivers, Beau Sparks and Chris Dawn, returned this season. Texas State should be up against it Saturday and their offense will be desperate to keep up with the Longhorns.

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Passing Yards

Arch Manning o279.5 Passing Yards (+104)

Projection 307.9669 (Over)

Best Odds

o269.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o269.5 -115

o279.5 +104

o272.5 -114

o274.5 -105

o272.5 -120

o272.5 -114

o274.5 -115

Rushing Yards

Raleek Brown u84.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 67.0503 (Under)

Best Odds

u84.5 -115

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u84.5 -115

u77.5 -114

u77.5 -115

u79.5 -110

Receiving Yards

Ryan Wingo o49.5 Receiving Yards (-101)

Projection 67.4857 (Over)

Best Odds

o44.5 -115

Pick made: 17 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o44.5 -115

o49.5 -101

o48.5 -114

o49.5 -115

o48.5 -122

o48.5 -115

o49.5 -110

Receiving Yards

Cam Coleman o57.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 68.5672 (Over)

Best Odds

o57.5 -115

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o57.5 -115

o59.5 -115

o58.5 -114

o59.5 -110

o59.5 -119

o62.5 -120

o59.5 -120

Spread

55% picking Texas State

55% 55%

45% 45%

Total Picks TXST 209, TEX 168

Spread

TXST

TEX

Spread

+30.5 -115

-30.5 -105

Total

43% picking Texas State vs Texas to go Under

57% 57%

43% 43%

Total PicksTXST 143, TEX 106

Total

Over

Under

Total

59.0 -114

59.5 -108

TXST vs TEX Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
SPREAD TXST +29.5 spread 29.25 PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE 5.28% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds Hard Rock Bet Best Odds +30.5 -115 +29.5 -110 +29.5 -110 +29.5 -110 +29.5 -113 +29.5 -110 +29.5 -110 +29.5 -113 +29.5 -120 +30.5 -115 TXST +29.5 spread PROJECTION 29.25 PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE 5.28% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. +30.5 -115
TOTAL $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ Over 59.5 Total 61.71 OVER PROJECTION +2.2 DIFFERENCE 5.12% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds BetRivers Best Odds o59.0 -114 o59.5 -108 o59.5 -110 o59.5 -108 o59.5 -110 o59.5 -110 o59.0 -114 o59.5 -112 o59.5 -105 o59.5 -105 $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ Over 59.5 Total PROJECTION 61.71 OVER PROJECTION +2.2 DIFFERENCE 5.12% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o59.0 -114
MONEYLINE $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ TEX -20000 moneyline TEX PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 0.57% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds Hard Rock Bet Best Odds -5000 -10000 -10000 -9000 -10000 -8000 -10000 -10000 -20000 -5000 $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ TEX -20000 moneyline PROJECTION TEX PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 0.57% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -5000
PASSING YARDS $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ A. Manning (QB) o279.5 Passing Yards 307.97 OVER PROJECTION +28.5 DIFFERENCE 26.87% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o269.5 -115 - o269.5 -115 o279.5 +104 o272.5 -114 o274.5 -105 o272.5 -120 o272.5 -114 o274.5 -115 - $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ A. Manning (QB) o279.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 307.97 OVER PROJECTION +28.5 DIFFERENCE 26.87% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o269.5 -115
RUSHING YARDS TEX $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ R. Brown (RB) u84.5 Rushing Yards 67.05 UNDER PROJECTION -17.4 DIFFERENCE 25.58% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u84.5 -115 - u84.5 -115 - u77.5 -114 - - u77.5 -115 u79.5 -110 - TEX $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ R. Brown (RB) u84.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 67.05 UNDER PROJECTION -17.4 DIFFERENCE 25.58% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u84.5 -115
RECEIVING YARDS TEX $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ R. Wingo (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards 67.49 OVER PROJECTION +18.0 DIFFERENCE 27.15% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o44.5 -115 - o44.5 -115 o49.5 -101 o48.5 -114 o49.5 -115 o48.5 -122 o48.5 -115 o49.5 -110 - TEX $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ R. Wingo (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 67.49 OVER PROJECTION +18.0 DIFFERENCE 27.15% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o44.5 -115
RECEIVING YARDS $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ C. Coleman (WR) o57.5 Receiving Yards 68.57 OVER PROJECTION +11.1 DIFFERENCE 25.38% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o57.5 -115 - o57.5 -115 o59.5 -115 o58.5 -114 o59.5 -110 o59.5 -119 o62.5 -120 o59.5 -120 - $Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$ C. Coleman (WR) o57.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 68.57 OVER PROJECTION +11.1 DIFFERENCE 25.38% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o57.5 -115

SPREAD

TXST +29.5 spread

29.25 PROJECTION

-0.3 DIFFERENCE

5.28% EV

Rating:

+30.5 -115

+29.5 -110

+29.5 -113

+29.5 -110

+29.5 -113

+29.5 -120

+30.5 -115

TOTAL

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$

Over 59.5 Total

61.71 OVER PROJECTION

+2.2 DIFFERENCE

5.12% EV

Rating:

o59.0 -114

o59.5 -108

o59.5 -110

o59.5 -108

o59.5 -110

o59.0 -114

o59.5 -112

o59.5 -105

MONEYLINE

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$

TEX -20000 moneyline

TEX PROJECTION

- DIFFERENCE

0.57% EV

Rating:

-5000

-10000

-9000

-10000

-8000

-10000

-20000

-5000

PASSING YARDS

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$

A. Manning (QB) o279.5 Passing Yards

307.97 OVER PROJECTION

+28.5 DIFFERENCE

26.87% EV

Rating:

o269.5 -115

o279.5 +104

o272.5 -114

o274.5 -105

o272.5 -120

o272.5 -114

o274.5 -115

RUSHING YARDS

TEX

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$

R. Brown (RB) u84.5 Rushing Yards

67.05 UNDER PROJECTION

-17.4 DIFFERENCE

25.58% EV

Rating:

u84.5 -115

u77.5 -114

u77.5 -115

u79.5 -110

RECEIVING YARDS

TEX

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$

R. Wingo (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards

67.49 OVER PROJECTION

+18.0 DIFFERENCE

27.15% EV

Rating:

o44.5 -115

o49.5 -101

o48.5 -114

o49.5 -115

o48.5 -122

o48.5 -115

o49.5 -110

RECEIVING YARDS

$Texas Longhorns image thumbnail$

C. Coleman (WR) o57.5 Receiving Yards

68.57 OVER PROJECTION

+11.1 DIFFERENCE

25.38% EV

Rating:

o57.5 -115

o59.5 -115

o58.5 -114

o59.5 -110

o59.5 -119

o62.5 -120

o59.5 -120

Recent Form Trends

Over is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games as a favorite.
Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Longhorns last 5 games as a home favorite.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Bobcats last 5 games as a road underdog.
Over is 4-1 in Bobcats last 5 games as a road favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Longhorns last 5 games on fieldturf.
Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.

ROI Trends

Texas State Trends

Texas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 20% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Moneyline - 1Q

Compare odds

Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Texas State has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 18% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Moneyline - FT

Compare odds

Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Texas State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.35 Units / -50% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Texas State have only covered the Spread in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.70 Units / -43% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Spread - FT

Compare odds

Texas State has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 8 games (-4.55 Units / -51% ROI)

Texas State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 9 games (-4.25 Units / -39% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Spread - 1Q

Compare odds

Texas State have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 10 games (-3.00 Units / -26% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

Texas Trends

Texas has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Moneyline - FT

Compare odds

Texas has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Texas have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Spread - FT

Compare odds

Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.95 Units / 42% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.05 Units / 2% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Moneyline - 1Q

Compare odds

Texas have only covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.90 Units / -58% ROI)

TXST

TEX

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

Texas has only hit the Team Total Under in 1 of their last 6 games at home (-4.85 Units / -69% ROI)

Texas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.00 Units / -35% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

Texas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.65 Units / -20% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Texas has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 10 games (-2.60 Units / -24% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Texas State Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
All Bobcats Money Leaders

Texas Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
All Longhorns Money Leaders

Top User Picks

Texas State vs Texas Picks & Props

TXST vs TEX Picks

TXST vs TEX Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

55% picking Texas State

43% picking Texas State vs Texas to go Under

TXST vs TEX Props

How is Value calculated?

Recent Form Trends

ROI Trends

Texas State Trends

Texas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 20% ROI)

Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 35% ROI)

Texas State has hit the Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Texas State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Texas State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.35 Units / -50% ROI)

Texas State have only covered the Spread in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.70 Units / -43% ROI)

Texas State has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 8 games (-4.55 Units / -51% ROI)

Texas State have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 9 games (-4.25 Units / -39% ROI)

Texas State have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 10 games (-3.00 Units / -26% ROI)

Texas Trends

Texas has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)

Texas has hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 86% ROI)

Texas have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.95 Units / 42% ROI)

Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.05 Units / 2% ROI)

Texas have only covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.90 Units / -58% ROI)

Texas has only hit the Team Total Under in 1 of their last 6 games at home (-4.85 Units / -69% ROI)

Texas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.00 Units / -35% ROI)

Texas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.65 Units / -20% ROI)

Texas has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 10 games (-2.60 Units / -24% ROI)

TXST vs TEX Top User Picks

User Picks

Texas State Team Leaders

Texas Team Leaders

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