Boise State Pac-120-0

Oregon 12th Big Ten0-0

3:30PM ET 3:30PM ET · Sep 05, 2026

Boise State vs Oregon Picks & Props

BSU vs ORE Picks

NCAAF Picks

Total

u51.5 (-108)

Best Odds

u51.5 -109

Pick made: 15 hours ago

u51.5 -110

u36.5 +510

u51.5 -110

u51.5 -114

u51.5 -109

u51.5 -110

The market could be sleeping on Oregon's defense. According to ESPN's Bill Connelly, the Ducks are 11th nationally in returning defensive production and rank third in his defensive SP+ ratings. Since this is their Super Bowl, I'm expecting the Broncos to slow down the tempo, limit possessions, and increase the variance because that gives them their best chance to pull off an upset.

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Total

o51.5 (-108)

Best Odds

o51.5 -108

Pick made: 2 days ago

o51.5 -108

o51.5 -110

o51.5 -109

o51.5 -110

Oregon's offense upgraded from last year as they look very strong at wide receiver and running back. This matches up well with a Boise State defense that's been downgraded. Whenever you have a massive spread, you need to look at the backups. I'd argue that Oregon has the best backup QB in the country in Dylan Raiola who was a two-year starter at Nebraska, so I think Oregon will continue to score if they're up big in the second half. On the other side, Boise State has one of the most experienced QBs in the country who should help contribute to the scoring.

2 LEG PARLAY

BSU +24.5

Spread

u51.5

Total

Bet now

+222

Pick made: 15 hours ago

Boise State almost upset Oregon two years ago. The Ducks needed a walk-off, game-winning field goal to beat the Broncos 37-34. Oregon was nowhere near covering as a massive -17.5 favorite in that contest. Like the Over, the public will hammer the Ducks ATS because they are one of the most popular football programs in the nation. Granted, betting splits aren't gospel, but I'd rather fade the market than follow it.

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Passing Yards

Dante Moore o246.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Projection 257.0016 (Over)

Best Odds

o246.5 -114

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o247.5 -115

o249.5 -108

o246.5 -114

o249.5 -105

o247.5 -120

o246.5 -114

o249.5 -115

Rushing Yards

Jordon Davison u73.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 63.5105 (Under)

Best Odds

u74.5 -125

Pick made: yesterday

EV Model Rating

u73.5 -115

u71.5 -114

u70.5 -114

u74.5 -125

Rushing Yards

Dante Moore o12.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Projection 16.6322 (Over)

Best Odds

o11.5 -128

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o14.5 -115

o12.5 -114

o11.5 -128

o14.5 +100

Receiving Yards

Dakorien Moore o48.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 54.7537 (Over)

Best Odds

o46.5 -120

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o48.5 -115

o49.5 -117

o47.5 -114

o49.5 -105

o46.5 -120

o48.5 -114

o49.5 -115

Receiving Yards

Jordon Davison o4.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Projection 7.5113 (Over)

Best Odds

o4.5 -120

Pick made: 41 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 -120

Receiving Yards

Jamari Johnson o49.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

Projection 55.7961 (Over)

Best Odds

o49.5 -125

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o58.5 -115

o59.5 -112

o52.5 -114

o49.5 -125

o52.5 -122

o52.5 -111

o53.5 -115

Receptions

Jamari Johnson u4.5 Receptions (+100)

Projection 3.7975 (Under)

Best Odds

u4.5 +100

Pick made: 41 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u4.5 +100

u4.5 -120

u4.5 -121

u4.5 -120

Carries

Jordon Davison u13.5 Carries (-110)

Projection 11.1872 (Under)

Best Odds

u13.5 -110

Pick made: 41 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u13.5 -110

Carries

Dante Moore o4.5 Carries (-145)

Projection 5.7369 (Over)

Best Odds

o4.5 -145

Pick made: 16 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 -145

Spread

56% picking Boise State

56% 56%

44% 44%

Total Picks BSU 225, ORE 174

Spread

BSU

ORE

Spread

+24.5 -105

-24.5 -106

Total

41% picking Boise State vs Oregon to go Under

59% 59%

41% 41%

Total PicksBSU 165, ORE 113

Total

Over

Under

Total

51.5 -108

51.5 -109

BSU vs ORE Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
SPREAD ORE -24.5 spread -24.56 PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE -1.9% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetRivers Best Odds -24.5 -106 -24.5 -110 -24.5 -110 -24.5 -110 -24.5 -110 -24.5 -115 -24.5 -106 -24.5 -108 -24.5 -115 -24.5 -110 ORE -24.5 spread PROJECTION -24.56 PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE -1.9% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -24.5 -106
TOTAL Over 51.5 Total 53.72 OVER PROJECTION +2.2 DIFFERENCE 5.82% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o51.5 -108 o51.5 -108 o51.5 -110 - o51.5 -110 o51.5 -110 o51.5 -109 o51.5 -110 o51.5 -110 o51.5 -110 Over 51.5 Total PROJECTION 53.72 OVER PROJECTION +2.2 DIFFERENCE 5.82% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o51.5 -108
MONEYLINE ORE -2800 moneyline ORE PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 3.27% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds -2400 -2500 -3500 -2400 -4000 -2800 -10000 -3448 -6000 -2500 ORE -2800 moneyline PROJECTION ORE PROJECTION - DIFFERENCE 3.27% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -2400
PASSING YARDS ORE D. Moore (QB) o246.5 Passing Yards 257.00 OVER PROJECTION +10.5 DIFFERENCE 19.96% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o246.5 -114 - o247.5 -115 o249.5 -108 o246.5 -114 o249.5 -105 o247.5 -120 o246.5 -114 o249.5 -115 - ORE D. Moore (QB) o246.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 257.00 OVER PROJECTION +10.5 DIFFERENCE 19.96% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o246.5 -114
RUSHING YARDS ORE J. Davison (RB) u73.5 Rushing Yards 63.51 UNDER PROJECTION -10.0 DIFFERENCE 24.77% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds theScore Bet Best Odds u74.5 -125 - u73.5 -115 - u71.5 -114 - - u70.5 -114 u74.5 -125 - ORE J. Davison (RB) u73.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 63.51 UNDER PROJECTION -10.0 DIFFERENCE 24.77% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u74.5 -125
RUSHING YARDS ORE D. Moore (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards 16.63 OVER PROJECTION +4.1 DIFFERENCE 23.33% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds BetRivers Best Odds o11.5 -128 - o14.5 -115 - o12.5 -114 - o11.5 -128 - o14.5 +100 - ORE D. Moore (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 16.63 OVER PROJECTION +4.1 DIFFERENCE 23.33% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o11.5 -128
RECEIVING YARDS D. Moore (WR) o48.5 Receiving Yards 54.75 OVER PROJECTION +6.3 DIFFERENCE 25.27% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds BetRivers Best Odds o46.5 -120 - o48.5 -115 o49.5 -117 o47.5 -114 o49.5 -105 o46.5 -120 o48.5 -114 o49.5 -115 - D. Moore (WR) o48.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 54.75 OVER PROJECTION +6.3 DIFFERENCE 25.27% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o46.5 -120
RECEIVING YARDS ORE J. Davison (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards 7.51 OVER PROJECTION +3.0 DIFFERENCE 23.82% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o4.5 -120 - o4.5 -120 - - - - - - - ORE J. Davison (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 7.51 OVER PROJECTION +3.0 DIFFERENCE 23.82% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o4.5 -120
RECEIVING YARDS ORE J. Johnson (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards 55.80 OVER PROJECTION +6.3 DIFFERENCE 20.9% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o49.5 -125 - o58.5 -115 o59.5 -112 o52.5 -114 o49.5 -125 o52.5 -122 o52.5 -111 o53.5 -115 - ORE J. Johnson (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 55.80 OVER PROJECTION +6.3 DIFFERENCE 20.9% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o49.5 -125
RECEPTIONS ORE J. Johnson (TE) u4.5 Receptions 3.80 UNDER PROJECTION -0.7 DIFFERENCE 19.44% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u4.5 +100 - u4.5 +100 - u4.5 -120 - - u4.5 -121 u4.5 -120 - ORE J. Johnson (TE) u4.5 Receptions PROJECTION 3.80 UNDER PROJECTION -0.7 DIFFERENCE 19.44% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u4.5 +100
RECEPTIONS ORE J. Davison (RB) o0.5 Receptions 0.87 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -11.83% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o0.5 -240 - o0.5 -240 - - - - - - - ORE J. Davison (RB) o0.5 Receptions PROJECTION 0.87 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -11.83% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o0.5 -240
CARRIES ORE J. Davison (RB) u13.5 Carries 11.19 UNDER PROJECTION -2.3 DIFFERENCE 21.87% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u13.5 -110 - u13.5 -110 - - - - - - - ORE J. Davison (RB) u13.5 Carries PROJECTION 11.19 UNDER PROJECTION -2.3 DIFFERENCE 21.87% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u13.5 -110
CARRIES ORE D. Moore (QB) o4.5 Carries 5.74 OVER PROJECTION +1.2 DIFFERENCE 11.34% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o4.5 -145 - o4.5 -145 - - - - - - - ORE D. Moore (QB) o4.5 Carries PROJECTION 5.74 OVER PROJECTION +1.2 DIFFERENCE 11.34% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o4.5 -145

SPREAD

ORE -24.5 spread

-24.56 PROJECTION

-0.1 DIFFERENCE

-1.9% EV

Rating:

-24.5 -106

-24.5 -110

-24.5 -115

-24.5 -106

-24.5 -108

-24.5 -115

-24.5 -110

TOTAL

Over 51.5 Total

53.72 OVER PROJECTION

+2.2 DIFFERENCE

5.82% EV

Rating:

o51.5 -108

o51.5 -110

o51.5 -109

o51.5 -110

MONEYLINE

ORE -2800 moneyline

ORE PROJECTION

- DIFFERENCE

3.27% EV

Rating:

-2400

-2500

-3500

-2400

-4000

-2800

-10000

-3448

-6000

-2500

PASSING YARDS

ORE

D. Moore (QB) o246.5 Passing Yards

257.00 OVER PROJECTION

+10.5 DIFFERENCE

19.96% EV

Rating:

o246.5 -114

o247.5 -115

o249.5 -108

o246.5 -114

o249.5 -105

o247.5 -120

o246.5 -114

o249.5 -115

RUSHING YARDS

ORE

J. Davison (RB) u73.5 Rushing Yards

63.51 UNDER PROJECTION

-10.0 DIFFERENCE

24.77% EV

Rating:

u74.5 -125

u73.5 -115

u71.5 -114

u70.5 -114

u74.5 -125

RUSHING YARDS

ORE

D. Moore (QB) o12.5 Rushing Yards

16.63 OVER PROJECTION

+4.1 DIFFERENCE

23.33% EV

Rating:

o11.5 -128

o14.5 -115

o12.5 -114

o11.5 -128

o14.5 +100

RECEIVING YARDS

D. Moore (WR) o48.5 Receiving Yards

54.75 OVER PROJECTION

+6.3 DIFFERENCE

25.27% EV

Rating:

o46.5 -120

o48.5 -115

o49.5 -117

o47.5 -114

o49.5 -105

o46.5 -120

o48.5 -114

o49.5 -115

RECEIVING YARDS

ORE

J. Davison (RB) o4.5 Receiving Yards

7.51 OVER PROJECTION

+3.0 DIFFERENCE

23.82% EV

Rating:

o4.5 -120

RECEIVING YARDS

ORE

J. Johnson (TE) o49.5 Receiving Yards

55.80 OVER PROJECTION

+6.3 DIFFERENCE

20.9% EV

Rating:

o49.5 -125

o58.5 -115

o59.5 -112

o52.5 -114

o49.5 -125

o52.5 -122

o52.5 -111

o53.5 -115

RECEPTIONS

ORE

J. Johnson (TE) u4.5 Receptions

3.80 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.7 DIFFERENCE

19.44% EV

Rating:

u4.5 +100

u4.5 -120

u4.5 -121

u4.5 -120

RECEPTIONS

ORE

J. Davison (RB) o0.5 Receptions

0.87 OVER PROJECTION

+0.4 DIFFERENCE

-11.83% EV

Rating:

o0.5 -240

CARRIES

ORE

J. Davison (RB) u13.5 Carries

11.19 UNDER PROJECTION

-2.3 DIFFERENCE

21.87% EV

Rating:

u13.5 -110

CARRIES

ORE

D. Moore (QB) o4.5 Carries

5.74 OVER PROJECTION

+1.2 DIFFERENCE

11.34% EV

Rating:

o4.5 -145

Recent Form Trends

Under is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 road games.
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 4-0 in Ducks last 4 games as a home underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games overall.
Over is 6-1 in Ducks last 7 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games on fieldturf.
Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in September.

ROI Trends

Boise State Trends

Boise State have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Spread - 1Q

Compare odds

Boise State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Boise State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Boise State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Spread - FT

Compare odds

Boise State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (-8.05 Units / -42% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

Boise State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.35 Units / -43% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Boise State have only covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.30 Units / -59% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

Boise State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 7 away games (-6.05 Units / -74% ROI)

Boise State has only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games (-5.65 Units / -73% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Oregon Trends

Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 4% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Moneyline - FT

Compare odds

Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 3% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Moneyline - 1Q

Compare odds

Oregon have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 35% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Spread - 1Q

Compare odds

Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)

BSU

ORE

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

Oregon has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 8 games at home (-7.60 Units / -79% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

Oregon has not hit the Game Total Under in any of their last 3 games at home (-3.30 Units / -100% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Boise State Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
All Broncos Money Leaders

Oregon Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
All Ducks Money Leaders

Top User Picks

Boise State vs Oregon Picks & Props

BSU vs ORE Picks

BSU vs ORE Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

56% picking Boise State

41% picking Boise State vs Oregon to go Under

BSU vs ORE Props

How is Value calculated?

Recent Form Trends

ROI Trends

Boise State Trends

Boise State have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)

Boise State has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Boise State has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)

Boise State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)

Boise State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (-8.05 Units / -42% ROI)

Boise State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.35 Units / -43% ROI)

Boise State have only covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.30 Units / -59% ROI)

Boise State has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 7 away games (-6.05 Units / -74% ROI)

Boise State has only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games (-5.65 Units / -73% ROI)

Oregon Trends

Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 3% ROI)

Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Oregon have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.30 Units / 36% ROI)

Oregon has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 8 games at home (-7.60 Units / -79% ROI)

Oregon has not hit the Game Total Under in any of their last 3 games at home (-3.30 Units / -100% ROI)

BSU vs ORE Top User Picks

User Picks

Boise State Team Leaders

Oregon Team Leaders

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