Duke @ North Carolina Picks & Props
DUKE vs UNC Picks
NCAAF Picks
Passing Yards
GL
Gio Lopez o191.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
We’re betting Gio Lopez’s passing yards over again (up to 199.5) because he’s cleared 200 in four straight games, Duke’s pass defense is atrocious, and a likely pass-friendly game script sets him up to exploit it.
TD Passes
GL
Gio Lopez u1.5 TD Passes (-175)
Projection 0.9902 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
Darian Mensah u268.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 249.2138 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
GL
Gio Lopez u203.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 198.7896 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KP
Kobe Paysour o40.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 46.2859 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JS
Jordan Shipp o50.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 56.6417 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Cooper Barkate u72.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 69.6939 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
QB
Que'Sean Brown u51.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 50.7778 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
NS
Nate Sheppard o64.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 76.0324 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
DJ
Demon June o42.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 47.8504 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
DUKE vs UNC Consensus Picks
DUKE vs UNC Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
N. Sheppard
running back RB • Duke
Prop
64.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
76.03
Demon June Rushing Yards Props • North Carolina
D. June
running back RB • North Carolina
Prop
42.5
Rushing Yards
Projection
47.85
DUKE vs UNC Trends
Duke Trends
Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
Duke have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.55 Units / -56% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
Duke have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.50 Units / -43% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
Duke has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.85 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.30 Units / -16% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
Duke has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 7 away games (-4.90 Units / -60% ROI)
Over
Under
North Carolina Trends
North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.81 Units / 52% ROI)
North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Over
Under
North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Over
Under
North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Over
Under
North Carolina has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 13 games (-7.90 Units / -21% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
North Carolina has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 10 games (-7.45 Units / -63% ROI)
North Carolina has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 games (-6.85 Units / -32% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
North Carolina have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.30 Units / -41% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
North Carolina have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.20 Units / -42% ROI)
DUKE
UNC