Notre Dame vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Football Week 4

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 25, 2026 , 07:45 AM ET • 4 min read

Will Purdue have enough left in the tank to get up for this game after a grueling two-week stretch? The Boilermakers lost a double-overtime game to Wake Forest before traveling to Los Angeles and falling to UCLA. Now, they return home to face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

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Match starts: 26 hrs
Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback CJ Carr (13) looks to pass.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback CJ Carr (13) looks to pass.

It’s another big matchup for the Purdue Boilermakers as they return home to host No. 3 Notre Dame following the Fighting Irish’s trip back from Los Angeles.

The two teams kick off Saturday at 2 p.m. ET on Peacock, and I’m diving into my Notre Dame vs. Purdue prediction.

My Week 4 college football picks outline why I expect the Fighting Irish to blow the doors off the Boilermakers and cover the 27.5-point spread.

 TOP PICK
Who will win Notre Dame vs Purdue: Notre Dame -27.5

Purdue is coming off a double-overtime loss to Wake Forest two weeks ago, then traveled to Los Angeles, where it lost to UCLA 52-38 last week. Now, the Boilermakers have to travel all the way back home to host No. 3 Notre Dame.

The Boilermakers have endured a tough stretch of games, and they might be exhausted heading into this matchup. Sure, this is their biggest game of the season against their in-state foe, but there are a lot of miles on those tires.

Notre Dame's top-ranked defense has allowed just 23 points through three games, and the Fighting Irish will put the Boilermakers' offense through hell on Saturday. Purdue will not have it easy putting up 30-plus points like it has this season.

With Notre Dame not looking ahead to anything, this should be a game in which the Fighting Irish are focused on the task at hand.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Notre Dame ranks 14th nationally in points per game, averaging 40.0 through three games this season.

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Notre Dame vs Purdue Over/Under pick: Under 58.5

This game should be all Notre Dame. It is going to be extremely difficult for Purdue to move the ball up and down the field, especially with this being its first true test of the 2026 season. I fully expect the Fighting Irish to carry the scoring load in this matchup while keeping the game under 58 points.

Purdue may average 37 points per game this season, but it will be hitting a brick wall against a team allowing just a touchdown per game.

Notre Dame vs Purdue combo

Combining those three plays gets you 5.69x, which is a great price if you believe the Fighting Irish will waltz into West Lafayette and completely dominate the Boilermakers.

Notre Dame vs Purdue combo

  • Notre Dame -27.5
  • Under 58.5
  • Notre Dame 1H -16.5
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • CFB Record: 23-22, +2.30 units

Notre Dame vs Purdue odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Notre Dame -27.5 | Purdue +27.5
  • Over/Under: Over 58.5 (51.81%) | Under 58.5 (53.76%)
  • Moneyline: Notre Dame 95% | Purdue 5%

For the full slate of college football matchups, check out our college football odds board!

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Notre Dame vs Purdue weather

The weather in West Lafayette should be in the upper 60s, with slight winds. Perfect weather conditions.

Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Notre Dame vs Purdue trend to know

 The Under is 6-4 in Notre Dame’s last 10 games, including 2-0 in its last two. Find more college football betting trends for Notre Dame vs. Purdue.

How to watch Notre Dame vs Purdue

Location Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Ind.
Date Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026
Kickoff 2:00 p.m. ET
TV Peacock

Notre Dame vs Purdue latest injuries

Check out our college football injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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