MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 31, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 31 • 12:15 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho logo Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Kyle Bradish ranks in the 49th percentile in opponent hard-hit rate (38.9%), resulting in home runs in back-to-back starts, and has been taken deep six times over his last seven outings.

3 LEG PARLAY
Ernie Clement profile picture
Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho profile picture
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. profile picture
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Runs
Runs
Bet now
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Ernie Clement is swinging a hot bat and has eight extra-base hits in his last 13 games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr has reached base 20 times in his last nine games, including a four-for five game last night. Daulton Varsho is another Blue Jay who profiles well against Bradish’s sinker-slider mix. Varsho enters the matchup with extra-base hits in consecutive games and owns a .333 batting average against those pitches this season.

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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Washington Nationals logo WAS (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

There's isn't much to like about Griffin Canning's form this year (7.54 ERA). Zack Littell counters, and his 2.19 ERA in May shines by comparison. The Nats' bats are also doing much better over the last two weeks, ranking fourth while San Diego is 24th.

Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground in the majors — generally good for homers.. Manny Machado has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .067 discrepancy.. Utilizing Statcast data, Manny Machado is in the 86th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 28.200.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.. Oneil Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. In notching a 28.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Oneil Cruz finds himself in the 84th percentile for power.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Brandon Lowe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph mark.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+273)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity. He's also beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.

Total RBIs
Joe Mack logo
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+390)
Projection 0.32
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Joe Mack will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan today.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan today.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the majors.. This game is projected to have the best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-280)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the majors.. This game is projected to have the best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. David Fry's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.9-mph figure last year has decreased to 89.3-mph.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Nick Lodolo's sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time. Matt Olson has gone yard four times against the sinker this year, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.

Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-182)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

I refuse to believe Tatsuya Imai has suddenly "figured it out" for the Astros after tossing six scoreless innings as part of a no-hitter last Tuesday. His ERA is still a sky-high 6.17. He can't hang with Jacob Misiorowski (1.83 ERA), so back the Brewers to -200.

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.8% rate last season to 18.9% this season.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago White Sox logo o7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have an Over record of 8-2-0 in their last 10 games.

Spread
Chicago White Sox logo CHW -1.5 (+166)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have won five of seven against the Tigets, with four of those wins coming by at least two runs.

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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, May 31 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .275 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .045 disparity.. Posting a 36.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Salvador Perez finds himself in the 96th percentile for power.
Total Hits
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Joc Pederson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 51% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the majors for LHB batting average.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences in the majors.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, May 31 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Casey Schmitt logo Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Casey Schmitt has been on fire with six dingers in the last 13 games, and he'll be hitting out of the most batter-friendly park in the majors today.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is also suscepitble to the long ball, ranking in the bottom five percentile in Barrel% and bottom 17 percentile in Hard-Hit%.

Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (-119)
Projection 2.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, May 31 • 4:05 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Put simply, Ben Rice is seeing pitches like soccer balls this week - and he enters this afternoon's clash with the Oakland A's on a 10-for-17 tear across his last four games, including a homer, a triple and three doubles.

He ranks second in the majors with a 1.047 OPS, and he's a standout hitter in just about every statistical category, from his .566 xSLG to his 17.7% barrel rate. 

Total
New York Yankees logo Athletics Athletics logo u10.5 (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Will Warren's release slot suppresses launch angle, while New York's MLB-leading groundball bullpen extends the Yankees' advantage. With Jacob Lopez also generating weak contact, this 10.5 total is too high. Play Under 9.5.

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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Yoshinobu Yamamoto logo Yoshinobu Yamamoto o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Yamamoto has racked up 7+ Ks in five of his past seven outings, and his five-pitch arsenal (and 29% whiff rate) will keep the Philadelphia Phillies off balance today.

He keeps his walks low - just 13 this year - and that's allowed him to pitch past the sixth inning in each of his last three starts.

Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u8.5 (+107)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

The Phillies have cashed the Under in eight consecutive games, scoring no more than four runs in any of those games and posting a league-worst 55 wRC+ and .251 wOBA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is far from a "get right spot". They're 2-7 O/U in Andrew Painter's last nine starts.

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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Randy Arozarena logo Randy Arozarena o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Watch for Arozarena to put an exclamation point on an impressive week here. He's piled up eight hits across his past six games, cashing this combo prop in three of those outings, and I'm encouraged by his 4-for-8 mark against Arizona Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly.

Arozarena's savvy baserunning has contributed to 17 runs this month, and the RBI potential is off the charts with the Mariners scoring a combined 40 runs in their last six contests.

Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Seattle Mariners logo u7.5 (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Bryce Miller has added 2-3 mph onto all of his pitches, and has tripled his slider usage from a season ago. That breaking ball is generating a 43.3% whiff rate thanks to an additional 2.6 inches of induced vertical break. 


That is a devastating equalizer against the Diamondbacks, who have a league-leading 48.2% pull rate over the last two weeks.

 

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, May 31 • 7:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o8.5 (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I’m playing the Over because both lefties have run-prevention risk, and I have stronger conviction on the total than the side. I would play this up to -132 at 8.5 and down to +100 at 9. We talked about Matthew Liberatore above, and he’s a threat to give up a crooked number at any time. Jordan Wicks brings similar danger on the other side, allowing a .309 xBA, .493 xSLG, and 47.1% hard-hit rate against a St. Louis Cardinals lineup with the seventh-best expected slugging percentage.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Matthew Liberatore’s contact profile is a bad fit against Chicago. His 5-plus xERA, 9.8% barrel rate, and 43.9% hard-hit rate leave too much room for damage, and the Cubs have ranked top five in barrel rate and hard-hit rate over the past week.

Jordan Wicks is volatile enough to keep this uncomfortable, but the St. Louis Cardinals do not bring the same scoring ceiling. In a near coin-flip market, I prefer Chicago’s offense, especially with the Cubs showing signs of their contact quality turning back up.

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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 9 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero logo Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+115)
Pick made: 8 days ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

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