San Francisco

Atlanta

6:05PM ET 6:05PM ET · Aug 31, 2026

San Francisco vs Atlanta Picks & Props

SF vs ATL Picks

MLB Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Best Odds

o7.5 -5051

Pick made: one month ago

o7.5 -5051

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

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Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: one month ago

+110

+105

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Hits+Runs+RBIs

Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+101)

Projection 2.11

Best Odds

o1.5 +101

Pick made: one month ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +101

When estimating his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

+101 at Kalshi Sports

Moneyline

71% picking Atlanta

29% 29%

71% 71%

Total PicksSF 176, ATL 423

Moneyline

ATL

Moneyline

+110

-143

Total

44% picking San Francisco vs Atlanta to go Under

56% 56%

44% 44%

Total PicksSF 176, ATL 141

Total

Over

Under

Total

7.5 -5,051

7.5 -3,333

SF vs ATL Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
TOTAL Over 7.5 Total 8.47 PROJECTION +1.0 DIFFERENCE 7.02% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds Polymarket Best Odds o7.5 -5051 - - - - - - - o7.5 -5051 Over 7.5 Total PROJECTION 8.47 PROJECTION +1.0 DIFFERENCE 7.02% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o7.5 -5051
SPREAD SF -3.5 spread -0.41 PROJECTION +3.1 DIFFERENCE 9.6% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds Polymarket Best Odds -3.5 -1185 - - - - - - - -3.5 -1185 SF -3.5 spread PROJECTION -0.41 PROJECTION +3.1 DIFFERENCE 9.6% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. -3.5 -1185
TOTAL HITS R. Devers (1B) 0.5 Total Hits 0.96 PROJECTION +0.5 DIFFERENCE -5.99% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds Kalshi Sports Best Odds o0.5 -175 - - - - - - o0.5 -175 - R. Devers (1B) 0.5 Total Hits PROJECTION 0.96 PROJECTION +0.5 DIFFERENCE -5.99% EV ANALYSIS The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. o0.5 -175
HITS+RUNS+RBIS R. Devers (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs 2.11 PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE 12.76% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds Kalshi Sports Best Odds o1.5 +101 - - - - - - o1.5 +101 - R. Devers (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs PROJECTION 2.11 PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE 12.76% EV ANALYSIS When estimating his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. o1.5 +101

TOTAL

Over 7.5 Total

8.47 PROJECTION

+1.0 DIFFERENCE

7.02% EV

Rating:

o7.5 -5051

SPREAD

SF -3.5 spread

-0.41 PROJECTION

+3.1 DIFFERENCE

9.6% EV

Rating:

-3.5 -1185

TOTAL HITS

R. Devers (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

0.96 PROJECTION

+0.5 DIFFERENCE

-5.99% EV

Rating:

o0.5 -175

HITS+RUNS+RBIS

R. Devers (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

2.11 PROJECTION

+0.6 DIFFERENCE

12.76% EV

Rating:

o1.5 +101

Recent Form Trends

Over is 5-0-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 home games.
Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games as a road underdog.
Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Giants are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.

ROI Trends

San Francisco Trends

The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.10 Units / 50% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)

ATL

Game Line - Run Line - FT

Compare odds

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.95 Units / 99% ROI)

ATL

Game Line - Moneyline - FT

Compare odds

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	campellnyr917	6-4-0	+11040
2	nora99	8-2-0	+10945
3	Badger66	7-3-0	+9895
4	gordon2_4	6-4-0	+8350
5	Hornswoggler	8-2-0	+8295
6	dwynf	5-5-0	+8200
7	TexanGambler	7-3-0	+7930
8	Franciswarns	7-3-0	+7660
9	mrmrsbears	7-3-0	+7605
10	uncledewey	8-2-0	+7455
All Giants Money Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	1GRIFFEYFAN24	4-6-0	+14545
2	Octavio	6-4-0	+12585
3	Bigblue78	7-3-0	+12030
4	SDK	6-4-0	+11490
5	Aitch	8-2-0	+11080
6	duvoitel	7-3-0	+10400
7	shogun2164	6-4-0	+10355
8	harrisonian175	6-4-0	+9870
9	MP2056	6-4-0	+9300
10	starpano	6-4-0	+9300
All Braves Money Leaders

San Francisco vs Atlanta Picks & Props

SF vs ATL Picks

SF vs ATL Consensus Picks

71% picking Atlanta

44% picking San Francisco vs Atlanta to go Under

SF vs ATL Props

Recent Form Trends

ROI Trends

The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+5.10 Units / 50% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 46% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 64% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+6.95 Units / 99% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.90 Units / -25% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 40 games (-9.45 Units / -20% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-8.70 Units / -27% ROI)

The San Francisco Giants have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-6.45 Units / -11% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+2.85 Units / 5% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.30 Units / 62% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+9.85 Units / 22% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 35 games at home (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+3.60 Units / 5% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-17.45 Units / -31% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.10 Units / -24% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-13.50 Units / -25% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games at home (-12.70 Units / -17% ROI)

The Atlanta Braves have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 50 games at home (-8.95 Units / -15% ROI)

SF vs ATL Top User Picks

San Francisco Team Leaders

Atlanta Team Leaders

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