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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 24, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+138 
|
o6.5 -130 
|
+1.5 -167
|
|
4.40 |
-155 
|
u9.0 -319 
|
-1.5 +146 
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Leahys last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Leahys last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Leahys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.39 |
-125
|
o8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +135 
|
|
4.92 |
+110
|
u9.5 -140
|
+1.5 -150
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games.
- Over is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Royals last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.28 |
+170
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -127
|
|
4.26 |
-170
|
u7.5 -106
|
-1.5 +120 
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cubs last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Ian Happ u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
u1.5-250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
+111
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.54 |
-125
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +171
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Texas
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rangers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games.
- Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Rangers last 10 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.34 |
-176
|
o10.0 -115
|
-1.5 -112
|
|
4.85 |
+158 
|
u10.5 -120
|
+1.5 +100
|
Arizona
- Under is 6-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 road games.
- Diamondbacks are 9-0 in Rodriguezs last 9 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a favorite.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+100
|
o8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.57 |
-117
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 8-1-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 overall.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 |
+119
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.34 |
-130
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +168
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Suarezs last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.64 |
+129
|
o6.5 -118
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.09 |
-144
|
u6.5 +102
|
-1.5 +164
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 overall.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 home starts.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Yankees last 8 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Victor Mesa Jr. o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+140)
o1.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
+182
|
o7.5 -107
|
+1.5 -120
|
|
5.37 |
-210
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +110
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 6-0-1 in Singers last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Reds last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Reds last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in Mahles last 5 starts.
- Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 4-0 in Mahles last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
o0.5+232
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.35 |
+169
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -134
|
|
4.19 |
-195
|
u7.5 -127
|
-1.5 +120
|
LA Angels
- Over is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.43 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Astros last 9 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 road games.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 11-1 in last 12 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+155
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -139
|
|
4.49 |
-170
|
u7.5 -109
|
-1.5 +130
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in Pivettas last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Dodgers last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
STL
@
PIT
Thu, Sep 24 • 12:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Leahy today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand today.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
CHW
@
KC
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
MIA
@
CHC
Thu, Sep 24 • 2:20 PM ET
Total RBIs
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+248)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Ian Happ u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. In today's matchup, Ian Happ is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.7% rate (90th percentile).
AZ
@
COL
Thu, Sep 24 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total RBIs
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Connor Norby's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Connor Norby will have an edge in today's game.. Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
MIL
@
PHI
Thu, Sep 24 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
CLE
@
BOS
Thu, Sep 24 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
Projection 0.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game.. Jarren Duran has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Trevor Story will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
TB
@
NYY
Thu, Sep 24 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Heliot Ramos u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
CIN
@
ATL
Thu, Sep 24 • 7:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate today at 77%.. Considering Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Mike Yastrzemski will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Mike Yastrzemski has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds only has 1 same-handed RP.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate today at 77%.. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and moreover, Singer has a huge platoon split.. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
LAA
@
SEA
Thu, Sep 24 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
SEA (-204)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo has dominated Angels hitters in the past, limiting them to a .190 batting average and .442 OPS. Meanwhile, Grayson Rodriguez's struggles have continued, as he owns a 5.58 xERA and a hard-hit rate that ranks in the fourth percentile, according to Baseball Savant. Seattle is playable on the ML to -220.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the most humid conditions on the slate today at 86%.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team playing today.. Mike Trout is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#3-worst of the day).
SD
@
LAD
Thu, Sep 24 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
SD (+155)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I'll back the San Diego Padres at 39%, as there's an edge at that price. I make them closer to a 44% underdog in this matchup against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers have already clinched a bye and are always focused on postseason baseball, so there's little incentive to push their key players in a game like this. Tyler Glasnow is an important piece of their potential World Series run, but given his history of durability issues, I don't expect to see a high pitch count from him on Thursday. Dave Roberts should be cautious with his workload. The Padres, meanwhile, are locked in a three-way battle for positioning in the Wild Card round and should be approaching this game with a much greater sense of urgency. I expect San Diego to be aggressive with its high-leverage relievers, which gives the Padres an edge in a game where the Dodgers have less to play for.
Total RBIs
Will Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league.. Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Will Smith will hold that advantage today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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