Boston @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Rob Refsnyder's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 46.2% to 55.6%.

Roman Anthony is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Roman Anthony will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Roman Anthony stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Roman Anthony has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Marcelo Mayer is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Marcelo Mayer will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Marcelo Mayer has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Kristian Campbell has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Kristian Campbell are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryan Woo. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Cole Young will have an edge in today's game. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cole Young will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Cole Young's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 43.8% on the season to 70% over the past week.

Abraham Toro is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Abraham Toro has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 90.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. J.P. Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. Jarren Duran is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 5th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Hitters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Benjamin Williamson has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Benjamin Williamson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 95th percentile, Benjamin Williamson has put up a .361 BABIP this year.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 16.5% to 19.8%.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Trevor Story has been unlucky this year, putting up a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .028 discrepancy.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Dominic Canzone will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has hit one of the hardest balls in MLB in the last 14 days — 115.9-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's game... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among every team today. Carlos Narvaez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 96-mph in the past two weeks.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today. Rowdy Tellez has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 16% this season.

Romy Gonzalez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.