Phillies vs Red Sox Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: May 13, 2026 , 01:45 PM ET • 4 min read

This Philadelphia Phillies lineup packs a punch, and Tom Oldfield expects Kyle Schwarber and Co. to floor the Boston Red Sox at Fenway tonight.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
PHI
43 %
BOS
57 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Philadelphia +110 Philadelphia +110
Read Analysis
Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber (12).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Philadelphia Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber (12).

The misery continues for the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, and the locals could be getting restless again tonight against the Philadelphia Phillies.

With last night’s win, Philadelphia improved to 8-3 in May, and my Phillies vs Red Sox predictions jump on the visitors here, even with Boston’s likely edge in the pitching matchup. 

Take a closer look at this clash with my free MLB picks for Wednesday, May 13.

Who will win Phillies vs Red Sox today: Phillies (+109)

After two early runs, it turned out to be a nail-biter for the Philadelphia Phillies in yesterday’s series opener, but they’ve now won seven of their last nine games.

Rookie Andrew Painter takes the ball tonight and, though he drags in an ugly 6.89 ERA, I see the Philly bats giving him enough run support to outlast the Boston Red Sox.

Kyle Schwarber has now homered in five straight contests, and both Trea Turner and Alec Bohm have had success against Boston starter Sonny Gray.

With an out-of-sorts lineup, the Red Sox are 7-13 at Fenway this season, and I’m fading them tonight.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Red Sox are 6-19 this year when they allow a home run, and the Phillies have mashed 50 dingers, ninth-most in the majors.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Phillies vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Under 9 (-115)

It’s hard to take the Over here after watching these lineups flail away in clutch moments last night, so I’m grabbing the Under, which has been a winning ticket in three of the last four meetings between these teams.

Though I’m banking on the Phillies to get more traction at the plate tonight, the Red Sox have scored just four runs across their past three outings, and only three ballclubs have served up fewer runs this year than Boston.

For all of Painter’s bumpy spells, five of his seven starts have finished with a total below 9, and Gray looked sharp last week after shaking off a hamstring issue.

Tom Oldfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-6, +4.30 units
  • Over/Under bets: 7-2, +4.31 units

Phillies vs Red Sox odds

  • Moneyline: Phillies +109 | Red Sox -131
  • Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-186) | Red Sox -1.5 (+153)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (-105) | Under 9 (-115)

Phillies vs Red Sox trend

The Under is 8-3-1 in Boston's last 12 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Red Sox.

How to watch Phillies vs Red Sox and game info

Location Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Date Wednesday, May 13, 2026
First pitch 6:45 p.m. ET
TV NBC Sports Philadelphia, NESN
Phillies starting pitcher Andrew Painter
(1-4, 6.89 ERA)
Red Sox starting pitcher Sonny Gray
(3-1, 3.54 ERA)

Phillies vs Red Sox latest injuries

Phillies vs Red Sox weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo