The Chicago Cubs hope to end a three-game skid when they face the Atlanta Braves tonight.
The opening game of the series between the top two teams in the National League was dominated by the Braves, but my Cubs vs. Braves predictions back Chicago to even the series tonight.
Find out why in my MLB picks for May 13.
Who will win Cubs vs Braves today: Cubs (-127)
JR Ritchie has had a solid start to his MLB career with the Atlanta Braves, but his metrics suggest some serious issues ahead.
His FIP is three runs higher than his ERA, largely due to a BB/9 rate of 6.23 that is among the worst of any starter.
That sets him up for failure against the Chicago Cubs, whose 13.2% walk rate over the last two weeks is the best in baseball. They’re also third in xwOBA in that timeframe, thanks to the third-lowest strikeout rate.
Chicago's offense will provide run support to Shota Imanaga as he claims another victory.
COVERS INTEL: Ritchie has a 21.1% HR/FB rate this season, which could be problematic given the weather in Atlanta tonight is the second-most favorable for hitters of any game on today’s schedule.
Cubs vs Braves Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-108)
The Cubs have only two runs in the last three games, and those both came last night despite having just one hit.
They’ll get back on track against Ritchie, who ranks in the 20th percentile or worse in chase rate, walk rate, strikeout rate, and xERA.
Imanaga will limit Atlanta’s offense, but that will change once he exits. Chicago’s bullpen ranks second-worst in HR/FB rate, third-worst in HR rate, and dead last in xERA over the past week.
That will allow the Braves, whose .336 BABIP over the past week leads the majors, to get some late runs.
- ML/RL bets: 4-8, -4.67 units
- Over/Under bets: 9-3, +6.04 units
Cubs vs Braves odds
- Moneyline: Cubs -127 | Braves +122
- Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+127) | Braves +1.5 (-133)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-108) | Under 8.5 (+104)
Cubs vs Braves trend
The Chicago Cubs have hit the moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Braves.
How to watch Cubs vs Braves and game info
| Location | Truist Park, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Wednesday, May 13, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Marquee Sports Network, BravesVision |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Shota Imanaga (4-2, 2.28 ERA) |
| Braves starting pitcher | JR Ritchie (1-0, 3.63 ERA) |
Cubs vs Braves latest injuries
Cubs vs Braves weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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