Los Angeles @ San Diego Picks & Props

Petco Park grades out as the #22 venue in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today. Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering May's huge platoon split. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph dropping to 90.8-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 6th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for pitching on the slate today. Jackson Merrill has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 86.4-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 6th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph average last season has fallen off to 85.2-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Jake Cronenworth will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Mookie Betts has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 4.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days. Mookie Betts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.4% to 21.2%.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Gavin Sheets will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph average.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Teoscar Hernandez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20.8° figure in the past week's worth of games. With a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Teoscar Hernandez grades out in the 75th percentile. Teoscar Hernandez has compiled a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

Tommy Edman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 36.9% to 48.9%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) may lead us to conclude that Tommy Edman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .237 actual batting average.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Tyler Wade will hold the platoon advantage over Dustin May today... and even more favorably, May has a huge platoon split. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today. Tyler Wade will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) provides evidence that Tyler Wade has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .221 actual batting average.

Elias Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today. Elias Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (18°) is considerably higher than his 7.3° figure last year.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have an advantage today. Shohei Ohtani has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last year's 99-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 10th-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Freddie Freeman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game. Freddie Freeman has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xander Bogaerts has experienced some negative variance given the .038 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Over the last 14 days, Andy Pages's 53.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.9%. Sporting a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Andy Pages grades out in the 77th percentile for hitting ability. Based on Statcast data, Andy Pages ranks in the 89th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .285.

Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Michael Conforto's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (22° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 14° seasonal angle. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Conforto has experienced some negative variance this year. His .272 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .327.

Manny Machado's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Max Muncy will have an advantage in today's game. In the last week, Max Muncy's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 33.3%. Max Muncy has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark. Max Muncy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 19% on the season to 39.3% over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, Max Muncy is in the 80th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .343.

Brandon Lockridge has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.