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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 20, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.98 |
-157 
|
o7.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +115 
|
|
3.42 |
+140
|
u8.0 -122
|
+1.5 -125 
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Sanchezs last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Phillies are 9-1 in Sanchezs last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Phillies are 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road underdog.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
o0.5+172
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+100 
|
o8.5 -102 
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
5.05 |
-115
|
u8.5 -114
|
+1.5 -190
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Royals are 5-1 in Wachas last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Bachars last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+284)
o0.5+284
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.03 |
+128 
|
o7.5 -118 
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.04 |
-134
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +152
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Jaxs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.46 |
+203
|
o6.5 -140
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
4.58 |
-230
|
u7.5 -135
|
-1.5 +102
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Guardians last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.94 |
-154
|
o9.5 -110
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
4.78 |
+135
|
u10.0 -122
|
+1.5 -118
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
+126
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.77 |
-139
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 +150
|
Atlanta
- Over is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Braves last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Astros are 8-1 in Browns last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Astros last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
o0.5+218
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
+102
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.78 |
-115
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 10-1 in Martins last 11 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Top Projection
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+120
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.94 |
-130
|
u8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +152
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.45 |
+140
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -157
|
|
4.31 |
-152
|
u7.5 -113
|
-1.5 +140
|
Toronto
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League West.
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in deGroms last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.61 |
-155
|
o10.5 -119
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.02 |
+141
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -110
|
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Colorado
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rockies last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Suganos last 5 interleague starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
-120
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -250
|
|
4.31 |
+105
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +200
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
+125
|
o7.5 -132
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.60 |
-138
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +155
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
o0.5+222
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+100
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.68 |
-105
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +175
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 road games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Arizona
- Over is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 vs. American League East.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+230
|
o8.0 -115
|
+2.0 -126
|
|
5.21 |
-265
|
u8.5 -125
|
-2.0 -103
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 on grass.
Top Projection
Matt Wilkinson o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
o2.5+125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
-200
|
o7.0 -150
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
3.65 |
+180
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 +100
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 interleague starts.
- Orioles are 5-1 in Youngs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+411)
o0.5+411
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Yesavages last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 overall.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.99 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 road games.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 home games.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 overall.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
PHI
@
NYM
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mark Vientos o0.5 Total RBIs (+252)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game... and even better, Sanchez has a large platoon split.. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alec Bohm's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats.. Alec Bohm hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among every team today.
KC
@
PIT
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
PIT (-120)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-most humidity on the slate at 86%.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.
BOS
@
TB
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Considering Patrick Sandoval's large platoon split, Junior Caminero will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Patrick Sandoval o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+525)
Projection 4.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 6th-best field in baseball for strikeouts.. Patrick Sandoval's high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (58.5% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
ATH
@
CLE
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+154)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jo Adell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The #2 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. In Major League Baseball, Progressive Field's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+149)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 park in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
CHC
@
CIN
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like JJ Bleday tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.. JJ Bleday will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 field in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Sal Stewart will have an edge today.
ATL
@
HOU
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Ronald Acuna Jr. leads MLB with seven dingers in September, including three in his last four games.
The Braves star has an insane .714 SLG and 1.096 OPS this month, while he also carries a .444 average and 1.111 OPS in his career when facing Astros starter Hunter Brown.
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Martin Perez has been solid down the stretch, and he'll be backed up by a Braves bullpen that ranks third in ERA (3.41).
Atlanta should be able to quell a Houston offense that’s averaging just 2.89 runs per game over their last nine contests, with three runs or fewer in six of those outings.
DET
@
CHW
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
HL
Hao-Yu Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hao Yu Lee in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Hao Yu Lee is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Hao Yu Lee has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. This year, Hao Yu Lee's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 82nd percentile at 94.5 mph.
Strikeouts Thrown
Davis Martin o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-109)
Projection 4.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Detroit Tigers have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (John Peck, Riley Greene, Ben Malgeri).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Davis Martin will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats in all categories.. Davis Martin's curveball percentage has jumped by 9.4% from last year to this one (4.8% to 14.2%) .. Davis Martin's 2410-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 81st percentile out of all SPs.
WAS
@
STL
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+153)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. JJ Wetherholt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin today.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Quinn Mathews throws from, Dylan Crews will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Dylan Crews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
TOR
@
TEX
Sun, Sep 20 • 2:35 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Corey Seager o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Miles throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's game.. Jake Burger has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 20.8% over the last 14 days.. Jake Burger has performed at a clip of 26.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
SEA
@
COL
Sun, Sep 20 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tomoyuki Sugano in this game.
Total Home Runs
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total Home Runs (+810)
Projection 0.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #7 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. J.P. Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today.
MIN
@
LAA
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Johnson throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Royce Lewis's launch angle this year (20.8°) is a considerable increase over his 17.5° mark last year.. Royce Lewis's launch angle recently (24.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 20.8° seasonal angle.
MIA
@
SD
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+390)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Fernando Tatis Jr. is crushing Sandy Alcantara’s pitch mix.
He has managed an impressive .333 ISO with a 20.7% barrel rate and 69.2% hard hit rate over the last 25 games when facing Alcantara’s four most-used pitches.
Using the same criteria, Tatis Jr. owns a low 4.3% walk rate. He is tearing the cover off the ball and not doing so aggressively. He’s not grinding out free passes.
Moneyline
SD (-134)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
I’m on the San Diego Padres up to 58%.
Sandy Alcantara has allowed at least four runs in four of his past five starts, posting a 5.52 xFIP along the way.
It’ll be tough to get back on track against the San Diego Padres. They rank sixth in hard hit rate, fifth in xwOBA, and first in xSLG against right-handed pitching in September.
NYY
@
AZ
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-114)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The way Warren has been pitching, runs will already be at a premium for the Diamondbacks, while if Burnes can lock in, it should be the same for the Yankees. The Arizona right-hander owns a 3.39 xERA and just a 37.50% hard-hit rate since returning. If he can limit those hard-hit balls, this could end up being a pitching duel.
Moneyline
NYY (-114)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Will Warren has been pitching at an elite level lately, posting a 0.64 ERA, 3.08 FIP and 1.00 WHIP over his last three starts. With Arizona striking out at a high rate as of late, Warren has a strong opportunity to shut down the Diamondbacks lineup.
On the other side, Corbin Burnes has been solid since returning, but he is allowing a near-17% barrel rate, while opposing hitters have a .360 xwOBA.
With the Yankees generating a hard-hit rate above 43% lately, I expect New York to bounce back and give Warren enough run support this afternoon.
SF
@
LAD
Sun, Sep 20 • 4:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
MW
Matt Wilkinson o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+113)
Projection 3.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brennan Miller grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be umping in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 7th-best field in the majors for strikeouts.. Given that flyball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over flyball hitters, Matthew Wilkinson and his 39.9% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable spot today matching up with 3 opposing FB hitters.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+141)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Teoscar Hernandez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
MIL
@
BAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 7:20 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Garrett Mitchell o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Garrett Mitchell is easily my favorite bat to back in this matchup. The Brewers outfielder has been destroying right-handed pitching, posting a .697 SLG, .333 ISO, 37.5% line drive rate, near-60% hard-hit rate and 16.7% barrel rate over his last 10 games. He also owns a .821 SLG and 1.254 OPS against the last 30 right-handed pitchers he has faced. Mitchell draws Orioles right-hander Brandon Young, who has allowed lefties to produce an 11% barrel rate, .374 xBA and .673 xSLG over his last 30. Mitchell also clears this prop over 68% of the time in elite ratings. Take this down to -125.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Pete Alonso has been seeing the baseball extremely well, making him my favorite option from the Orioles' side in this matchup. The Polar Bear enters Sunday with a .658 SLG and .395 ISO, while posting a near-20% barrel rate over his last 10 games. He has also crushed right-handed pitching recently, sporting a .731 SLG and 25% barrel rate over his last 30 at-bats against righties. Jacob Misiorowski has been lights-out against right-handed hitters, but the last 30 he has faced own at least a .346 xBA and .436 xSLG. At plus money, Alonso is worth backing.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
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If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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