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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 26, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.40 |
-130 
|
o8.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
4.46 |
+116
|
u8.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -139
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Mets last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
o0.5+235
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.40 |
+100
|
o8.0 -127
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.40 |
-114
|
u8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +155
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+140
|
o7.5 -122
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.53 |
-152
|
u8.0 -114 
|
-1.5 +146
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 on astroturf.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Reds last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5+340
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.43 |
-325 
|
o7.5 +106
|
-2.5 -102
|
|
2.50 |
+270
|
u7.5 -114
|
+2.5 -105
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Blake Snell o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
o7.5-103
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.04 |
-129
|
o8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.32 |
+112
|
u8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -145
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 overall.
- Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts overall.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
-127
|
o7.5 -132
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
3.72 |
+110
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -155
|
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1-3 in Rangers last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Rangers last 8 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games.
- Twins are 7-0 in Obers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
o1.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-124
|
o8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +135 
|
|
4.66 |
+110
|
u8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -150
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0 in Royals last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-104)
o1.5+105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.09 |
+195
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 +102
|
|
4.91 |
-225
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 -104
|
Colorado
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rockies last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5+280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.84 |
+160
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -138
|
|
4.21 |
-185
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +125
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1 in Mays last 7 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Dustin May o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
o2.5-176
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
-105
|
o6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +176
|
|
4.30 |
-105
|
u7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -197
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 9-1 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
+106
|
o7.5 -108
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.34 |
-115
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +170
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 |
-140
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
5.19 |
+124
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
Houston
- Over is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
o0.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.10 |
+166
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -124
|
|
4.32 |
-180
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +117
|
LA Angels
- Over is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 21-6-1 in Mariners last 28 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Mike Trout u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
u1.5-200
NYM
@
WAS
Sat, Sep 26 • 12:35 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jonah Tong o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to -120. Jonah Tong continues to generate plenty of swings and misses, posting 9.28 K/9 across his last two appearances while clearing this number in three straight starts. Washington isn't an extreme strikeout matchup, but Tong only needs five punchouts, making this a manageable number at close to even money.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Jonah Tong throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's game.
PIT
@
DET
Sat, Sep 26 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total Home Runs (+465)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Riley Greene is mashing right now with a .333 average, .617 SLG, and five homers in September.
The Tigers outfielder sits in the 95th percentile in xSLG and 96th percentile in barrel % this season – a testament to his power and ability to square up the baseball.
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
CIN
@
TOR
Sat, Sep 26 • 3:07 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Rhett Lowder o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play down to -115. Rhett Lowder's recent form makes this earned-runs prop difficult to ignore. He's allowed more than 2.5 earned runs in seven consecutive outings while carrying a 7.25 xERA over the last month. Toronto doesn't need to be scorching offensively to capitalize on a pitcher allowing this much hard contact.
Total RBIs
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rogers Centre projects as the #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
LAD
@
SF
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 82%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Given Matt Wilkinson's large platoon split, Mookie Betts will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Blake Snell o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-111)
Projection 8.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Blake Snell projects as the 4th-best SP in baseball right now when it comes to his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tallying 92.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Blake Snell falls in the 80th percentile.. Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the San Francisco Giants with a 28% underlying K%.. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Out of all starters, Blake Snell's fastball velocity of 95.3 mph is in the 83rd percentile this year.
ATL
@
MIA
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 119° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Ronald Acuna Jr. has paced 25.5 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 78th percentile for power.
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 119° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Austin Riley has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (29.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jack Ralston is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Riley.. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
TEX
@
MIN
Sat, Sep 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Target Field ranks as the #9 park in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Power-wise, Jake Burger has performed in the 86th percentile, having hit 28.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Target Field ranks as the #9 field in the majors for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
CLE
@
KC
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-129)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Cleveland enters the weekend in an all-out battle for the AL Central crown and the crucial first-round bye (No. 2 seed). Tanner Bibee gets the start, backed by a bullpen that ranks third in MLB over the last two weeks with a 2.99 SIERA and 31.3% strikeout rate. Kansas City's bullpen has faltered down the stretch (5.08 ERA, 1.47 WHIP), giving Cleveland a major late-inning edge with season-defining motivation.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-104)
Projection 2.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #5 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. Bobby Witt Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
COL
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Teel o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB.. Kyle Teel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kyle Teel o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #6 park in baseball for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in MLB.. Kyle Teel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
STL
@
MIL
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Jackson Chourio is projected as the 18th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
Strikeouts Thrown
Dustin May o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Projection 4.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.. This matchup is expected to have the 3rd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Dustin May will hold that advantage today.. Dustin May has gone to his cutter 14.7% more often this season (23.9%) than he did last year (9.2%).
TB
@
PHI
Sat, Sep 26 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for home runs.. This game is projected to have the 4th-most humid conditions on the schedule today (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Brandon Marsh o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+155)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 13th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. This game is projected to have the 4th-most humid conditions on the schedule today (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
AZ
@
SD
Sat, Sep 26 • 8:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+106)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Arizona has rattled off five straight wins to stay alive in the wild-card race and gives the ball to Corbin Burnes in a must-win game. San Diego has already punched their postseason ticket, while the Diamondbacks offense has caught fire over the last fortnight (128 wRC+, .500 SLG, 3.49 bullpen SIERA). Getting Burnes backed by high urgency against Walker Buehler provides the premier late-game value on the board.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 81°.
HOU
@
ATH
Sat, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-185)
Projection 3.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best park in the league for lefty home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 87°.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Donovan Walton o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+140)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best park in the league for lefty home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Donovan Walton will have an advantage today.
LAA
@
SEA
Sat, Sep 26 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-lowest fences in MLB.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. Mike Trout will have the handedness advantage over Kade Anderson in today's game.
Total Bases
Mike Trout u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mike Trout in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
