MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 2, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jul 2 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+133)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 100°.. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's game.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+152)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Bryan Reynolds is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 100°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Alan Rangel today.
View 10 Picks
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jul 2 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+188)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+186)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. American Family Field ranks as the #8 field in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.
View 10 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Jul 2 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Liam Hicks logo
Liam Hicks o1.5 Total Bases (-122)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Liam Hicks is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge today.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Liam Hicks can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total RBIs
Jakob Marsee logo
Jakob Marsee o0.5 Total RBIs (+138)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jakob Marsee is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.. The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jakob Marsee is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
View 10 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Thu, Jul 2 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Braden Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jacob Gonzalez logo
Jacob Gonzalez o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jacob Gonzalez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 venue in baseball for boosting BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Jacob Gonzalez will have the upper hand today.
View 10 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jul 2 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Truist Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in the majors for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Mike Yastrzemski will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Total Bases
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 10th-best field in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 10 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Jul 2 • 7:40 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The #5 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+147)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #5 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.2-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's game.
View 8 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Thu, Jul 2 • 8:05 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Justin Foscue logo
Justin Foscue u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Foscue in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Globe Life Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-deepest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -17° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Torkelson generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.
View 5 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Thu, Jul 2 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Josh Lowe logo
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+266)
Projection 1.22
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's matchup.. Josh Lowe has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+246)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Thu, Jul 2 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+187)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best field in baseball for RHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
View 10 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
View 2 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 10 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 13 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.