What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.31 |
+115 |
o6.5 -114 |
+1.5 -190 |
|
|
4.01 |
-132 |
u6.5 +102 |
-1.5 +180 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.72 |
-115 |
o6.5 -102 |
-1.5 +164 |
|
|
4.33 |
+102 |
u6.5 -108 |
+1.5 -182 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.99 |
+145 |
o6.5 -115 |
+1.5 -155 |
|
|
4.64 |
-155 |
u6.5 +100 |
-1.5 +145 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.32 |
-108 |
o7.5 -120 |
-1.5 +164 |
|
|
4.25 |
-106 |
u8.0 -116 |
+1.5 -182 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.34 |
-132 |
o7.5 -125 |
-1.5 +130 |
|
|
4.72 |
+115 |
u8.5 -128 |
+1.5 -143 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.59 |
+120 |
o7.5 -112 |
+1.5 -162 |
|
|
4.26 |
-130 |
u7.5 -102 |
-1.5 +165 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.35 |
-122 |
o8.0 -113 |
-1.5 +145 |
|
|
4.34 |
+106 |
u8.5 -125 |
+1.5 -162 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.19 |
-130 |
o7.0 -115 |
-1.5 +130 |
|
|
4.07 |
+120 |
u7.5 -120 |
+1.5 -144 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.79 |
+200 |
o7.5 -125 |
+1.5 -103 |
|
|
5.05 |
-210 |
u8.0 -110 |
-1.5 -102 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.89 |
+155 |
o7.5 -125 |
+1.5 -134 |
|
|
4.49 |
-175 |
u8.0 -112 |
-1.5 +125 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.21 |
-108 |
o7.0 -120 |
-1.5 +160 |
|
|
3.59 |
-102 |
u7.5 -117 |
+1.5 -180 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.63 |
-170 |
o8.5 -109 |
-1.5 +102 |
|
|
4.91 |
+148 |
u8.5 +102 |
+1.5 -115 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.36 |
+116 |
o7.5 +100 |
+1.5 -190 |
|
|
4.18 |
-134 |
u7.5 -110 |
-1.5 +168 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.63 |
+115 |
o6.5 -115 |
+1.5 -200 |
|
|
3.77 |
-130 |
u7.0 -124 |
-1.5 +180 |
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.90 |
-360 |
o7.0 -125 |
-2.5 -105 |
|
|
2.47 |
+305 |
u7.5 -120 |
+2.5 +100 |
Freddy Peralta has the best +EV Over strikeout prop, per the projections today, with 4.79 Ks on 88 pitches, which might even be a light pitch count. The Tampa starter went 97 pitches in his last turn and struck out six. He also has some motivation today, as the Phillies handed him his worst outing of the year when he gave up 10 runs back in June. It's pretty simple math: Peralta has been a 10.1 K/9 pitcher over the last four seasons and has gone 15-plus outs in six straight starts with a mid-90s pitch count. He can get to this plus-money Over on just five innings of work.
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Sean Burke gives Chicago a significant edge on the mound after posting a 0.82 ERA and 3.10 FIP across his last two appearances. Colorado counters with Tomoyuki Sugano, who owns a 5.10 FIP over his previous five starts and has continued to surrender plenty of hard contact. The White Sox are the stronger side.
Neither starter enters in dominant form, but Robert Gasser has been much better at keeping opposing hitters from doing serious damage. He's held opponents below a 30% hard-hit rate over his last two starts and has surrendered just 0.91 HR/9 at home this season. That gives Milwaukee the edge over Michael McGreevy and St. Louis.
Houston has one of the clearest pitching advantages on the board with Hunter Brown in outstanding form. Brown owns a microscopic 0.59 FIP over his last two appearances, while Jacob Lopez has gone in the opposite direction with a 9.41 FIP during the same span. Back the Astros to capitalize.
Let's rip the best expected ROI Over on the slate today after an easy cash last night with the Reds and Braves. The days are running out at Sutter Health Park, which has been a great Over diamond all year, with the Over hitting there at 64.3% — the highest home rate in all of baseball. Hunter Brown is pitching for a division contender, but he gets a huge Sacramento downgrade, while the A's are running Jacob Lopez, who just gave up 10 runs in his last outing and has allowed 19 runs over his last three starts. The wind is blowing out to center, and it's the best hitting weather on the slate. The fair price is -222 with 11.4 runs expected.
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.