The Florida Panthers welcome the Edmonton Oilers to Amerant Bank Arena for Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final on Tuesday, June 17. With a chance to clinch their second straight title on home ice, the Panthers are poised to finish the job.
My top Oilers vs. Panthers predictions and NHL picks point to a low-scoring affair, with Florida sealing the series and hoisting the Cup once again.
Who will win Oilers vs Panthers Game 6?
The Oilers haven’t topped the Cats in regulation during the series, and two of Florida's three wins have been convincing. Edmonton trails Florida in goals, expected goals, Corsi For percentage, and high-danger scoring chances at 5-on-5.
With Florida's superior goaltending plus having the last-change advantage in Game 6 on home ice, I don’t see Edmonton forcing a game 7 on the defending champs.
Moneyline prediction: Panthers will win (-150 at Sports Interaction)
Oilers vs Panthers prediction
My Oilers vs Panthers pick: Under 6.5 (-120 at Sports Interaction)
Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final was a low-event bout with just 28 shots and 2.9 expected goals at 5-on-5. While the entire series has resulted in high-scoring games with an average of 7.8 goals per, I’m anticipating another low-event contest with a low-scoring finish in Game 6.
The Florida Panthers have limited the Edmonton Oilers to just nine goals at 5-on-5 through five games, with star goalie Sergei Bobrovsky posting a sterling .931 save percentage. Florida has also been sound defensively on home ice throughout the postseason with just 2.4 xGA per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 and 2.67 allowed per game.
As highlighted, Edmonton hasn’t generated consistent offense at 5-on-5, and the Oilers also haven’t cooled the Cats while shorthanded. Florida has seven power-play goals during the series, with Edmonton sporting an unsustainably low 69.9 penalty-kill percentage.
The Oilers have also averaged 7:01 of shorthanded time per game during the final compared to just 4:44 through the first three rounds. So, not only is Edmonton eyeing statistical correction to its PK%, the Oil are also likely to be spending less time shorthanded.
I expect the majority of Game 6 to be played at 5-on-5 with the clock churning and both teams playing extra conservatively.
Oilers vs Panthers same-game parlay (SGP)
Panthers moneyline
Under 6.5
Matthew Tkachuk 3+ shots on goal
The Oilers haven’t had a true answer for the Panthers, trailing for an average of 27:35 and leading for just 4:38 per.
There’s potential for the Oilers to receive improved play in goal from Stuart Skinner because his .860 SV% and 4.20 GAA are unsustainably poor marks, but the Cats have also received high-end play from Bobrovsky.
It’s been a clinic from the Florida star, who's won 11 of his past 15 games with a tidy .925 SV%, 1.98 GAA, and 17.08 goals saved above expected.
Panthers winger Matthew Tkachuk is sporting a dominant 61.8 CF% at 5-on-5 and has recorded three or more shots in three of the five games.
I also value Tkachuk only hitting the net with 12 of his 31 attempts (38.7%) because he converted 49.2% of his attempts into shots during the regular season. Additionally, his 7.3 shots and 18.86 attempts per 60 minutes in the final are way above his respective 5.69 and 15.17 marks through the first three rounds of the postseason.
Sports Interaction: Canada’s home for NHL
Looking to bet on some NHL Playoffs action? Join Sports Interaction, the best in Canada for new bettors, and get a 125% bonus on your first deposit (up to $250)!
*Not available in Ontario. 19+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Oilers vs Panthers odds
Oilers vs Panthers live odds
Oilers vs Panthers opening odds
- Puck line: Edmonton +1.5 (-210)| Florida -1.5 (+170)
- Moneyline: Edmonton +118 | Florida -140
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-105) | Under 6.5 (-115)
Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction
Oilers vs Panthers trend
The Florida Panthers have covered the puck line in 52 of their last 107 games (+8.65 Units / 6% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Oilers vs. Panthers.
Oilers vs Panthers betting resources
- Oilers vs. Panthers props & best bets
- Oilers vs. Panthers anytime goalscorer picks
- Connor McDavid picks
- Matthew Tkachuk picks
How to watch Oilers vs Panthers
| Location | Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL |
| Date | Tuesday, 6-17-2025 |
| Puck drop | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet, SN |
Oilers vs Panthers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
