Connor McDavid Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Oilers vs Panthers Game 6

Connor McDavid found the back of the net in Game 5, and our Oilers vs. Panthers props expect another desperate performance from No. 97 tonight.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Jun 17, 2025 • 09:56 ET • 4 min read
Connor McDavid Edmonton Oilers NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Connor McDavid controls the puck down the ice.

Connor McDavid was able to get the monkey off his back in a Game 5 loss, scoring a nice goal for his first of the series.

I think the league’s best player is going to double down and find the back of the net again with his season on the line. Let’s break down the Connor McDavid odds with my NHL picks below.

Connor McDavid player prop picks

  • Best bet
    Anytime goalscorer
    (+150)

  • SGP pick
    Anytime goalscorer
    Bouchard Over 0.5 assists
    Oilers +1.5
    (+350)

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Connor McDavid best bet

Connor McDavid anytime goalscorer (+150 at BET99)

There weren’t a lot of positives to come from Edmonton’s 5-2 loss on home ice in Game 5. One of the exceptions was that Connor McDavid finally found the back of the net. The dam is broken!

It’s hard to overstate the importance of that for the Edmonton Oilers. They simply don’t have the depth or goaltending to match the Florida Panthers. If they’re going to win, they need their superstars to be the difference. That means McDavid firing on all cylinders.

There’s reason to believe the goals will continue flowing for as long as the Oilers are still playing. Creating opportunities has not been an issue for McDavid.

He ranks second in the series in expected goals and scoring chances. He also leads all Oilers in rebounds created, routinely generating second and third opportunities in tight on Sergei Bobrovsky. He just hasn’t converted on them — until Game 5.

While the Panthers deserve credit for playing McDavid tough, they’ve still given up plenty of looks to the game’s best player. It’s simply not realistic to expect them to continually amount to nothing.

Now that McDavid has finally scored, the floodgates may now open. He’ll get every opportunity to make that the case in a do-or-die Game 6.

In last year’s playoffs, McDavid logged 24+ minutes in Game 5 and Game 7 against the Panthers with the Oilers’ season on the line. He only played 18 minutes in Game 6, but that’s because the Oilers blew the Panthers out of the rink, and it wasn’t necessary to run the captain into the ground.

If this game is remotely close, McDavid is not going to leave the ice. He’s also proven — even against the Panthers — that he can generate chances in bulk. Win or lose, look for No. 97 to find the back of the net once again.

Connor McDavid same-game parlay

Connor McDavid anytime goalscorer

Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 assists

Oilers +1.5

McDavid has shared the ice more with Evan Bouchard than any other player during this year’s playoff run. It’s not even close. McDavid has spent over 240 minutes at 5-on-5 alongside Bouchard. Leon Draisaitl is a distant second (189 minutes together), and Corey Perry (157) lags well behind in third.

Kris Knoblauch wants his star offensive defenseman on the ice with McDavid as much as possible to help get him the puck in transition and maximize his capabilities in the offensive zone. That’s not going to change.

Given that they also play together on the No. 1 power-play unit, the two players are more or less inseparable. If McDavid finds the back of the net, there’s a good chance Bouchard helped make it happen.

Lastly, I like the Oilers to keep the game within a goal. When the Panthers finally put them away last year, they did so in a tight 2-1 affair. The desperation will be high from Edmonton, and this game should come down to the wire.

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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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