Final Jun 17
EDM 1 +139 o6.0
FLA 5 -154 u6.0
Edmonton 3rd Pacific48-29-4-1
Florida 3rd Atlantic47-31-4-0

Oilers vs Panthers Picks & Props

Amerant Bank Arena

EDM vs FLA Picks

NHL Picks
Total
Edmonton Oilers logo
Florida Panthers logo
u6.5 (-120)
Best Odds
u6.0 +105 BetMGM
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
u6.5  -125
u6.0  -110
u6.5  -134
u6.0  +105
u6.5  -125
u6.0  +100

Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final was a low-event bout with just 28 shots and 2.9 expected goals at five-on-five, and while the entire series has resulted in high-scoring games with an average of 7.8 goals per, I’m anticipating another low-event contest turning into a low-scoring finish in Game 6.

Shots on Goal
Matthew Tkachuk logo Matthew Tkachuk o2.5 Shots on Goal (+110)
Best Odds
o2.5 +110 bet365
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
o2.5  +105
o2.5  +110
 -
o2.5  +105
 -
o2.5  +108

Tkachuk definitely saved his best for the Stanley Cup Final. He’s sporting a dominant 61.8 CF% at five-on-five and has recorded three or more shots in three of the five games while tallying up two goals and four assists to tie for a team-high six points. I also value Tkachuk only hitting the net with 12 of his 31 attempts (38.7%) because he converted 49.2% of his attempts into shots during the regular season. Additionally, his 7.3 shots and 18.86 attempts per 60 minutes in the final are way above his respective 5.69 and 15.17 marks through the first three rounds of the postseason. Those rates are much closer to Tkachuk' s 9.81 shots and 19.94 attempts per 60 minutes during the regular season, too, and he also posted an even higher 10.42 shots and 21.87 attempts on home ice.

Score a Goal
Aleksander Barkov logo Aleksander Barkov Score a Goal (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
 +240 BetRivers
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Jonny Lazarus image
Jonny Lazarus
Betting Analyst
 +230
 -
 +230
 -
 -
 +240

Barkov only had one shot attempt in Game 5, but he did pick up a huge assist on Sam Reinhart's goal to pretty much close out the game. Prior to Game 5, Barkov had been averaging about five shot attempts per game in the Stanley Cup Final.

Score a Goal
Carter Verhaeghe logo Carter Verhaeghe Score a Goal (Yes: +230)
Best Odds
 +235 DraftKings
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Jonny Lazarus image
Jonny Lazarus
Betting Analyst
 +235
 -
 +230
 -
 -
 +215

When it comes to coming up clutch, Carter Verhaeghe's name is always in that conversation. Verhaeghe has scored nine goals in 21 career series-clinching playoff games. 

Score a Goal
Connor Brown logo Connor Brown Score a Goal (Yes: +550)
Best Odds
 +625 FanDuel
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Jonny Lazarus image
Jonny Lazarus
Betting Analyst
 +550
 -
 +625
 -
 -
 +575

Brown had the best opportunity of Game 5 in the opening minutes, but was robbed by the glove of Sergei Bobrovsky. Brown has had some looks on the top line with Connor McDavid, and is a scoring threat at times when he's out on the penalty kill. 

EDM vs FLA Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Florida

38%
62%

Total PicksEDM 256, FLA 415

Moneyline
EDM
FLA
Total

70% picking Edmonton vs Florida to go Over

70%
30%

Total PicksEDM 418, FLA 179

Total
Over
Under

EDM vs FLA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

EDM vs FLA Preview

Last Meeting ( Jun 14, 2025 ) Florida 5, Edmonton 2

The Edmonton Oilers have their backs against the wall again.

EDM vs FLA Top User Picks

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User Picks

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