Today’s NHL Props and Best Bets: Wild's Top Line Comes Through

Marco Rossi centers a Wild line between Kirill Kaprizov and Mats Zuccarello. Facing the Blue Jackets, this trio is in a position to find twine and Rossi will come away with at least one point to his name.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Oct 10, 2024 • 11:03 ET • 4 min read
Marco Rossi Minnesota Wild MLB
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There are nine games on the ice on Thursday, October 10, and my top NHL player props have a trio of Overs to add to your betting card.

Minnesota Wild center Marco Rossi finding the scoresheet headlines my NHL picks, with New York Islanders center Brock Nelson and Pittsburgh Penguins winger Michael Bunting also set to pile up shots in favorable matchups tonight.

NHL prop picks and best bets for October 10

Picks made on 10-10 at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Today’s NHL prop picks and best bets

Prop bet #1: Marco Rossi Over 0.5 points

+110 at BetMGM

The Minnesota Wild are handing Marco Rossi the gig between Kirill Kaprizov and Mats Zuccarello to start the season, and Minny lands in an excellent matchup against the Columbus Blue Jackets tonight.

Columbus surrendered the fourth-most goals and second-most expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 last year, and I consider this year’s roster even worse.

Rossi also has flashed chemistry with Kaprizov and Zuccerello with a solid 3.63 goals per 60 at 5-on-5 across 314:28 of shared ice time last season, and the 23-year-old center also racked up a pair of goals and three assists through four exhibition games.

Prop bet #2: Brock Nelson Over 2.5 shots

-110 at bet365

New York Islanders center Brock Nelson recorded a career-high 250 shots last season, and he’s a top-six staple at even strength who skates with the No. 1 power-play unit. Nelson recorded three or more shots in 51 of 82 games last year (62.9%), too.

The Utah Hockey Club, then the Arizona Coyotes, didn’t travel well last season, either. Arizona allowed the seventh-most shots per 60 minutes (32.2) on the highway with a floundering 47.9 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5.

Prop bet #3: Michael Bunting Over 2.5 shots

+105 at bet365

The Pittsburgh Penguins were shelled 6-0 by the New York Rangers, and it’s a quick turnaround to face the Detroit Red Wings on the road. Pittsburgh put its lines in the blender, but Michael Bunting still recorded five shots and eight attempts while consistently skating in a scoring role alongside Evgeni Malkin.

Detroit projects as a favorable matchup, too. The Red Wings surrendered the seventh-most shots (32.01) and sixth-most attempts (64.3) per 60 minutes while sporting a 28th-ranked 46.0 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5.

Today’s NHL games

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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