Giants vs Rams Prediction, Picks & Early Odds for Monday Night Football

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 15, 2026 , 09:52 AM ET • 4 min read

The Rams had a long plane ride and extra time to think about their Week 1 loss. Jason Logan isn't discounting L.A. for that weirdo result and gives his early leans for Monday Night Football.

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford.

The Los Angeles Rams had a long flight home and an extended break to reflect on their Week 1 loss in Australia, and my Giants vs. Rams predictions expect a better effort in Week 2.

L.A. is back in action as a 6.5-point favorite on Monday Night Football, hosting a plucky New York Giants squad coming off a win to start the John Harbaugh era.

I breakdown both sides and give my favorite NFL picks for Sept. 21.

Giants vs Rams predictions

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
Rams -6.5 53%
Over 48.5 49%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Early Giants vs Rams spread pick: Rams -6.5

Kalshi probability: 53%

Not only do the Los Angeles Rams get an extra break to rebound from the loss to San Francisco but they also have time to adjust their defensive plans with the loss of Myles Garrett.

Sean McVay is an excellent game planner with added time and this stop unit is still loaded with talent, including the return of Aaron Donald to the pass rush. I’m not discounting L.A. too much for a weirdo Thursday trip to the other side of the globe.

I will, however, be cautious of the New York Giants and a lurking letdown spot on MNF. This young New York team won an emotional matchup with Dallas on Sunday night, giving Harbaugh his first win as head coach.

With the contrasting public perception, I see value in getting a very strong Rams side at home with extra rest below the key number of a touchdown.

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Early Giants vs Rams total pick: Over 48.5

Kalshi probability: 49%

Matthew Stafford couldn’t get going against the 49ers but faces a softer stop unit from the Giants. New York’s defense looked much better than it truly was in Week 1, due to the offense grinding out gains and chewing up time of possession.

This Cowboys offense only had two second half possessions and while it was limited in action, Dallas ranked out well in terms of advanced metrics like EPA per play DVOA.

The Rams will sell out to stop the run and force the G-Men to pass more. And given the big spread, New York will be playing from behind and pushing tempo much faster than in Week 1 when it was protecting a lead.

This is a fast track indoor at SoFi Stadium and it doesn’t seem likely that L.A.’s offense gets bottled up for a second straight game. I really like the Rams to top their team total at 28.5 (48%).

Giants vs Rams odds

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Giants vs Rams spread: Rams -6.5
  • Giants vs Rams moneyline: Giants 26%, Rams 74%
  • Giants vs Rams Over/Under: 48.5

How to watch Giants vs Rams

  • Date: Monday, Sept. 21, 2026, 8:20 p.m. ET
  • City: Inglewood, Cal.
  • Venue: SoFi Stadium
  • TV: ESPN

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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