Islanders vs Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 21, 2026 , 12:20 PM ET • 3 min read

Faria's prediction: Goals will be at a premium in La Belle Province.

NHL

Match starts: 5 hrs
NYI
47 %
MON
53 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u5.5 (+110)
Read Analysis
Montreal Canadiens goaltender Jacob Fowler (32).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadiens goaltender Jacob Fowler (32).

The Montreal Canadiens will try to avenge a recent overtime loss to the New York Islanders when the two teams clash tonight.

Each side has leaned into low-scoring, defense-first hockey down the stretch as they prepare for the postseason, and I’m expecting a similar script to play out in my Islanders vs. Canadiens predictions.

Read more in my NHL picks for Saturday, March 21. 

Islanders vs Canadiens prediction

Islanders vs Canadiens best bet: Under 5.5 (+110)

The Montreal Canadiens and New York Islanders are both battling for playoff positioning, and it shows.

Montreal has allowed just 2.71 goals per game over the past two weeks, while New York has been even stingier at 2.17 — the third-best mark in the league over that span.

The Under is 5-1 in each team’s last six games, with the Islanders hitting Under 5.5 in four straight and the Canadiens in two straight.

New York has also cashed the Under in 53.6% of its games this season, the seventh-highest rate in the NHL.

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Islanders vs Canadiens same-game parlay

Goals will be hard to come by tonight, but if there’s anyone who can break through, it’s Cole Caufield.

The Habs winger has goals in three of his last four games and six of his last 10, including a tally vs. the Islanders in their last meeting on February 26.

Islanders vs Canadiens SGP

  • Under 5.5
  • Cole Caufield anytime goalscorer

Islanders vs Canadiens odds

  • Moneyline: Islanders +105 | Canadiens -125
  • Puck Line: Islanders +1.5 (-230) | Canadiens -1.5 (+190)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (+115) | Under 6.5 (-135)

Islanders vs Canadiens trend

The Under is 9-4 in New York’s last 13 road games. Find more NHL betting trends for Islanders vs. Canadiens.

How to watch Islanders vs Canadiens

Location Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
Date Saturday, March 21, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV MSGSN, SNE

Islanders vs Canadiens latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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