The Detroit Red Wings are big favorites over the visiting Chicago Blackhawks ahead of their 7:30 p.m. ET puck drop at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday, Oct. 29.
My top Blackhawks vs. Red Wings prediction and NHL picks expect Detroit to outscore Chicago in this Original Six showdown tonight.
TOP PICK
Blackhawks vs Red Wings prediction: Red Wings moneyline
It’s pedal to the metal for the Detroit Red Wings offense tonight in the Motor City, and I recommend the Detroit moneyline to 65%.
Detroit is the superior five-on-five team with a seventh-ranked Corsi For percentage and expected goals percentage, and more goals are coming for the Wings.
Even with those strong underlying numbers, the Wings are still below the breakeven mark with a 22nd-ranked 99.0 PDO, thanks to the sixth-lowest team shooting percentage.
The Chicago Blackhawks have allowed the third-most goals per game, while also surrendering the third-most expected goals per 60 minutes and ranking 30th in CF% at 5-on-5.
COVERS INTEL: The Detroit Red Wings rank ninth in expected goal differential per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 when adjusted for score and venue, and the Chicago Blackhawks rank 31st.
Blackhawks vs Red Wings player prop: Michael Brandsegg-Nygard 1+ points
Red Wings rookie Michael Brandsegg-Nygard is skating in a go-to role alongside Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond at 5-on-5, and the trio tilted the ice in their favor to the tune of a 66.3 CF% and 74.3 xGF%. I recommend this prop up to 47%.
Brandsegg-Nygard has also picked up eight points across seven home games, and as noted, the Blackhawks have surrendered goals in bunches.
Blackhawks vs Red Wings goal scorer: Dylan Larkin
Larkin scoring a goal is in play up to 42%.
He’s recorded five consecutive 30-goal seasons with a 14.1% SH%, so there’s statistical correction coming to his 6.3% mark through 10 games.
Larkin has generated a healthy 2.65 individual expected goals and 10 high-danger scoring chances while skating in a go-to offensive role that includes jumping the boards with the No. 1 power-play unit.
- Top picks: 28-19, +14.35 units
- Combos: 2-18, -11.08 units
Blackhawks vs Red Wings odds
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- Moneyline: Blackhawks 38% | Red Wings 63%
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (45%) | Under 6.5 (56%)
- Spread: Blackhawks +1.5 (62%) | Red Wings -1.5 (39%)
For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!
Blackhawks vs Red Wings trend
The Chicago Blackhawks are 0-4 on the road this season. Find more NHL betting trends.
How to watch Blackhawks vs Red Wings
| Location | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit |
| Date | Thursday, Oct. 29, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN+, Sportsnet+ |
Blackhawks vs Red Wings latest injuries
Check out our NHL injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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