Super Wild Card Weekend in the NFL is built for chaos — and chaos creates opportunity for bettors willing to chase longshot value.
Our experts have identified four longshot NFL picks with the potential to boost your ROI as three straight days of knockout football take center stage.
Best longshot bets for NFL Wild Card Weekend
- Trevor Lawrence 3+ passing TDs (+350 at FanDuel)
- Tommy Tremble anytime TD (+650 at FanDuel)
- Dalton Schultz first TD (+850 at FanDuel)
- Each team to score 1+ rushing touchdown (+12500 at FanDuel)
Expert NFL longshot bets
Trevor Lawrence has thrown three or more scores in three of his last four games. He’s also piled up 10 passing TDs over his last three home starts, with this pass-catching group playing its best football of the season.
Parker Washington has 347 yards over the last three games, Jakobi Meyers continues to move the chains, and Brian Thomas remains a matchup problem. Add in Brenton Strange and Travis Etienne as a receiving threat, and there are plenty of ways for this offense to score.
The Buffalo Bills are banged up in the secondary, with rookie Maxwell Hairston out and Jordan Poyer questionable, plus linebacker Terrel Bernard missing practice. If the Bills sell out to stop the run, Lawrence should be forced to throw — and that sets up well for another strong passing day.
This is a massive price for a clear-cut TE1 on a team that should be throwing more than usual as a double-digit home underdog.
In his first game without Ja’Tavion Sanders, Tremble stepped into the TE1 role and caught three of four targets for 38 yards and a TD at +500. Tommy Tremble ranked third in route share and logged a 90% snap rate, second among pass catchers.
He’s clearly involved yet priced like a TE2 with minimal usage. With Sanders still on IR, this should be closer to +300 or +330.
After missing Week 18, Nico Collins returns to the Texans' lineup on Monday. But even with their star wideout back, we still need to consider tight end Dalton Schultz a live option to score the opener against the Steelers.
He’s only scored three times all season, but two of those have come in the past month. He ranks second on the Texans roster in red-zone targets across the year.
With the Steelers giving up 11 touchdowns to TEs this season, tied for third-most in the league, it could be a good Monday for the former Stanford man.
You can’t write a longshot article without one true lotto ticket, and Wild Card Weekend sets up perfectly for a swing like this.
Across the six-game slate, we’re looking at a mix of run-heavy offenses, potential weather spots, and elite ground games capable of dictating terms through both scheme and talent.
This bet leans on proven touchdown producers like Kyren Williams (10), Rico Dowdle (6), Josh Jacobs (13), D’Andre Swift (9), James Cook (12), Josh Allen (14), Travis Etienne (7), Trevor Lawrence (9), Christian McCaffrey (10), Saquon Barkley (7), Jalen Hurts (8), and TreVeyon Henderson (9).
It’s a sprinkle-only play — but if Wild Card chaos hits the right way, this is the kind of ticket that can cap the weekend with a massive ROI.
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More Wild Card Weekend predictions
- Rams vs Panthers predictions
- Packers vs Bears predictions
- Bills vs Jaguars predictions
- 49ers vs Eagles predictions
- Chargers vs Patriots predictions
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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