NFL Week 3 is here, and finding the end zone is all about identifying players stepping into bigger roles and proven scoring threats in favorable matchups.
Oronde Gadsden headlines our experts' NFL touchdown combo as he takes over TE1 duties for the Chargers, while Davante Adams looks to pick up where he left off.
Let's jump right into our top NFL picks for Sunday, Sept. 27.
Our best NFL touchdown combo
Oronde Gadsden
Davante Adams
Garrett Wilson
Bucky Irving
Josh Inglis' TD pick: Oronde Gadsden
With both David Njoku and Charlie Kolar out long-term for the Los Angeles Chargers, Oronde Gadsden is set to pick up some snaps and is coming off a TD in Week 2 that paid 5.75x.
The price move is still within the buy range, as I have a fair price for a possible No. 2 pass-catcher in this offense as a hefty dog closer to 3x, compared to the 4.1x price tag early in the week.
Ladd McConkey is playing through his rib injury, and the rest of the pass-catchers in this offense are invisible. The unit as a whole has been bad. However, there should be plenty of passing opportunities for this Los Angeles offense, as its defense is one of the worst in football, while the Buffalo Bills' defense has still allowed 62 points through two games.
Check out more of Josh Inglis' touchdown picks for Week 3.
Jon Metler's TD pick: Davante Adams
Los Angeles Rams wideout Davante Adams is trading at 42% to score a touchdown against the Denver Broncos, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make him closer to a 49% probability of finding the end zone.
What's important is that my 49% projection has Puka Nacua playing, so Adams' target volume could increase even further if Nacua sits out again. We're getting a significant probability gap at 42%, as Kalshi is off-market compared to other spots on this prop, adding to the edge.
With several other markets pricing Adams closer to the 49% range I have him projected at, there's clear value at the current price.
Joe Osborne's TD pick: Garrett Wilson
The Detroit Lions' secondary has been getting torched, allowing a league-high 437 yards and 30 catches to wide receivers through two games. That puts Garrett Wilson squarely in the touchdown conversation. He’s caught 11 of 14 targets, including a score last week, and could feast on this practice squad-level coverage.
I expect the Lions to come out firing at home, forcing the Jets to be aggressive on offense as well. In a game I like to go Over, Wilson is the New York Jets' best option to find the end zone.
Dustin Saracini's TD pick: Bucky Irving
Bucky Irving's red-zone usage alone should make you want to invest in him to score against the Minnesota Vikings.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back is getting 75% of the carries inside the 20 and continues to be the workhorse, totaling 36 touches across the first two weeks of the season.
Minnesota is allowing 100 rushing yards per game, creating the perfect storm for Irving to find the end zone for the second time this season.
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