A Thursday Night Football game full of storylines kicks off Week 9 with the Baltimore Ravens traveling to South Florida to take on the Miami Dolphins.
With Lamar Jackson set to return, the Ravens come into action favored by 7.5 points while the total is on the high end at 50.
While either side of the spread makes for a solid argument, especially with Miami at home, my Ravens vs. Dolphins predictions think there’s no debate on the total in what I expect to be a high-scoring matchup.
Let’s break down my NFL picks for Thursday, October 30!
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Ravens vs Dolphins prediction
Ravens vs Dolphins Best bet: Over 50 (-110)
There’s an absolute avalanche of trends and stats to support a lot of points being scored at Hard Rock Stadium.
The Over has hit in nine straight Miami Dolphins home games. The Miami offense has been showing up in these as it's scored at least 27 points in eight straight home games, which includes exactly 27 in all three of their home stands this season.
The Baltimore Ravens are also trending heavily toward the Over, as it’s hit in six of their seven games. Most notably, the four games that Lamar Jackson has played have all resulted in at least 57 combined points being scored, with an average of 66. Baltimore has scored 30+ points in seven of Lamar’s last eight regular-season starts.
Aside from both cashing in on a lot of Overs lately, another thing the teams have in common is defenses that each rank near the bottom of the league in many important categories.
This game sets up nicely for Tua Tagovailoa and a Dolphins offense coming off their most impressive performance of the season. Tua should have plenty of time to work against a Ravens defense that ranks 30th in pressure percentage and 25th or worse in yards per play allowed, opponent third-down conversion percentage, and opponent red-zone touchdown conversion percentage.
On the other side, Miami’s defense is right there with Baltimore in those categories and has allowed six of its eight opponents to drop at least 27 points.
Now, combine all this with some lovely Miami weather, and we’ve got ourselves a great recipe for an Over!
Ravens vs Dolphins TNF same-game parlay
Miami's defense is 26th in yards allowed per pass attempt, and allowed quality QBs in Drake Maye, Josh Allen, and Justin Herbert to all throw for at least two touchdowns.
Tua comes into the game with great momentum and has already thrown for two or more touchdowns five times this season. I like his chances of picking up where he left off last week vs a Ravens defense that's allowing 250.7 passing yards per game.
Ravens vs Dolphins SGP
- Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 touchdown passes
- Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 touchdown passes
- Tua Tagovailoa Over 217.5 passing yards
- Lamar Jackson Over 234.5 passing yards
Our big-ticket SGP: TEASER
Lamar’s always a threat to find the end zone with his legs, and this matchup sets up well for him. The Dolphins have already allowed a league-high four rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks this season. If Miami brings pressure, Lamar’s scrambling ability could easily turn it into six points.
Ravens vs Dolphins SGP
- Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 touchdown passes
- Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 touchdown passes
- Tua Tagovailoa Over 217.5 passing yards
- Lamar Jackson Over 234.5 passing yards
- Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown
Ravens vs Dolphins odds
- Spread: Baltimore -7.5 | Miami +7.5
- Moneyline: Baltimore -425 | Miami +325
- Over/Under: Over 50.5 | Under 50.5
Ravens vs Dolphins betting trend to know
The Over has hit in nine straight Dolphins’ home games. Find more NFL betting trends for Ravens vs. Dolphins.
How to watch Ravens vs Dolphins
| Location | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
| Date | Thursday, October 30, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime |
Ravens vs Dolphins latest injuries
Ravens vs Dolphins weather
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