Thursday Night Football Computer Picks: Our Best Week 9 Player Prop Projections

De'Von Achane being active out of the backfield highlights our best computer picks for TNF tonight, powered by our NFL player prop projections.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Oct 30, 2025 • 09:34 ET • 4 min read
Ravens vs. Dolphins computer picks De'Von Achane
Photo By - Imagn Images. Miami Dolphins running back De'Von Achane (28) runs the ball.

Week 9 of the NFL season kicks off with a TNF matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins.

Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best TNF prop values for tonight, including both passing games finding success. 

Ravens vs Dolphins computer picks for Thursday Night Football

Ravens Ravens Dolphins Dolphins
Jackson o35.5 rush -110 Tagovailoa o216.5 pass -110
Henry o3.5 rec -120 Achane o32.5 rec -110
Flowers o66.5 rec -110 Waddle o65.5 rec -110
Andrews o30.5 rec -110 Conner o16.5 rec -110

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Ravens TNF computer picks

Lamar Jackson Over 35.5 rushing yards (-110)

Projection: 38.45 yards

Lamar is playing his first game in a month after suffering a hamstring injury, but we're still projecting him to run — and squeeze past his second-lowest yardage total of the season.

Derrick Henry Over 3.5 receiving yards (-120)

Projection: 9.85 yards

Henry has at least one reception in six of his seven games this year, and we're projecting his one catch tonight to go for more than four yards.

Zay Flowers Over 66.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 78.02 yards

Baltimore's star WR topped this total three times in four games with Lamar under center this season, and we're expecting him to pick right back up with a big game tonight.

Alternate-total bet
80+ yards (+155) - This price shows a small amount of value.

Mark Andrews Over 30.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 35.96 yards

The veteran TE topped this number last week, and we're projecting him to eek past his total against tonight.


More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers


Dolphins TNF computer picks

Tua Tagovailoa Over 216.5 passing yards (-110)

Projection: 223.81 yards

Tua has only topped this number twice so far, but we're expecting him to cash the Over tonight against a suspect Ravens degense.

De'Von Achane Over 32.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 42.39 yards

We're projecting the Dolphins' star back to top his receiving total tonight, as he has 3+ receptions in all but one game so far.

Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+145) - This number shows great value.

Jaylen Waddle Over 62.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 67.8 yards

Waddle has logged 95+ yards in three of his last four games, and he's projected to top a much-lower total tonight.

Tanner Conner Over 16.5 receiving yards (-110)

Projection: 21.0 yards

We're projecting the Miami TE to chip in a bit tonight, finished above a small yardage total.

Alternate-total bet
20+ yards (+120) - This milestone prop shows a decent level of value.

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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