It was a good week to back favorites in the NFL as they went 11-2 straight up and against the spread.
That's just the way she goes sometimes, and as a result, we fell one game below .500 for the year as we approach the halfway point of the NFL season.
Let's see if the underdogs can bite back this week as I break down my favorite Week 9 NFL picks against the spread.
Week 9 NFL picks against the spread
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Ravens vs  Dolphins |
(-7.5) |
 Panthers vs  Packers |
(-12.5) |
 Vikings vs  Lions |
(-8.5) |
 Colts vs  Steelers |
(-3) |
 Chargers vs  Titans |
(-10.5) |
 Falcons vs  Patriots |
(+5.5) |
 Broncos vs  Texans |
(+1.5) |
 49ers vs  Giants |
(-2.5) |
 Bears vs  Bengals |
(-2.5) |
 Jaguars vs  Raiders |
(+3) |
 Saints vs  Rams |
(-14.5) |
 Chiefs vs  Bills |
(+1.5) |
 Seahawks vs  Commanders |
(-3.5) |
 Cardinals vs  Cowboys |
(-3) |
Lines courtesy of FanDuel as of 10-28.
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Expert Week 9 NFL ATS picks
Ravens vs. Dolphins: Ravens (-7.5)
Whether Lamar Jackson plays or not, I think the Ravens can carry a bit of momentum from last week's win into this Thursday Night Football clash. The Dolphins caught lightning in a bottle vs. a short-handed Falcons side, and I don't expect the same effort in this spot.
Panthers vs. Packers: Packers (-12.5)
I faded the Panthers last week vs. the Bills, and I'm doing the same this week vs. a good Packers side. The Packers continue to put up boatloads of points in wins, and I simply see them running away with this one in another 28+ point performance.
Vikings vs. Lions: Lions (-8.5)
It appears as if J.J. McCarthy will be back under center for the Vikings this week, but talk about throwing him right into the Lions' den (pun intended). The Lions are off a bye, and will be able to score enough points here to grab the cover on their home field.
Colts vs. Steelers: Colts (-3)
The Steelers' defense leaves a lot to be desired. They are 30th in total yards and dead last in passing yards allowed. The Colts have a high-octane offense, and I don't see them slowing down anytime soon.
Chargers vs. Titans: Chargers (-10.5)
I need to stop picking the Titans to cover. So this is me, not picking the Titans to cover. That, and the Chargers' offense looked good last week.
Falcons vs. Patriots: Falcons (+5.5)
Much of this pick hinges on the health of Michael Penix Jr. and Drake London. If they suit up, I like the Falcons to keep it close. If not, I may reconsider, but for now...#DirtyBird.
Broncos vs. Texans: Broncos (+1.5)
This is the same spot as last week, with the Texans laying points against a "better team". We backed them last week, and they cashed. This week we are fading them. The Broncos' offense is dialed in right now, and their pass rush may sack C.J. Stroud at least 10 times.
49ers vs. Giants: 49ers (-2.5)
The loss of Cam Skattebo really took the wind out of the Giants' sails. I don't see how they recover or move the ball against a decent 49ers defense.
Bears vs. Bengals: Bears (-2.5)
Speaking of having the wind knocked out of their sails, the Bengals blew a double-digit lead to the Jets. That has to be demoralizing. I'll take the Bears as they bounce-back with a win.
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Jaguars vs. Raiders: Raiders (+3)
Sooner or later, the Las Vegas Raiders are going to bust out in a big way. Why not have it be this week since they are off their bye and had extended time to feel shame about their 31-0 loss in Week 7. The Jaguars cannot be trusted on the road, so I'll take the home side catching a field goal.
Saints vs. Rams: Rams (-14.5)
I also need to stop picking the Saints to cover.
Chiefs vs. Bills: Bills (+1.5)
You could flip a coin 100 times for this game, and both sides would probably win 50 of them. I'll take the home side here only for the sole fact that this probably means more to Buffalo than it does KC.
Seahawks vs. Commanders: Seahawks (-3.5)
The Commanders looked brutal on Monday Night Football, and the Seahawks are rested off a bye. I'll take the road favorite on Sunday Night Football.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: Cowboys (-3)
I refuse to believe the Cowboys' defense can play as badly as it did last week vs. the Broncos. The Cardinals are still banged up, so I look for a bounce-back effort from America's team.
My NFL ATS record is 60-61 this season for -4.7 units.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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