Falcons vs Cowboys Prediction, Picks & Odds for This Week’s NFL Preseason Game

Farley's prediction: Defense wins out in Big D.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Aug 21, 2025 • 19:17 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 21 hrs
DAL
0 %
ATL
0 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u35.5 (-110)
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Dallas Cowboys quarterback Joe Milton III (10) runs with the bal.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Dallas Cowboys quarterback Joe Milton III (10) runs with the bal.

This Friday, the Falcons and Cowboys meet at 8 pm at AT&T Stadium, with the game being shown on NFL Network.

Neither team has a win to their name in preseason so far, but with health a concern this close to the season, my Falcons vs. Cowboys predictions believe this game is unlikely to have fireworks.

Don’t miss our NFL picks for Friday, August 22. 

Falcons vs Cowboys prediction

Falcons vs Cowboys Best bet: Under 35.5 (-110)

This game is not going to be one for the purists, with both teams set to play second and third-string lineups. That doesn’t mean that it won’t be hugely important to those on the roster bubble, but it does mean that it’s likely to be of low quality and potentially low scoring. 

When it comes to the Atlanta Falcons, this is a team who have held both Michael Penix Jr and Kirk Cousins out of preseason action so far. Raheem Morris hasn’t got the best record as a preseason coach, and it’s clear that he doesn’t value these games relative to the risk incurred by featuring his best players. So far, it’s been Easton Stick leading the team out, and he’ll be back to play once again here. It’s been an unspectacular showing from him, with Stick failing to secure a victory and throwing just two touchdown passes. 

Previously, he’d been alongside Emory Jones, who has since been waived with an injury designation. The team went out and grabbed former Dallas man Ben DiNucci, but the 28-year-old isn’t a difference maker here. The Falcons are the fifth team he’s been a part of in the NFL since being drafted in 2020, and he’s only managed one competitive start. He’ll get reps on Friday, which is both a blessing for him but also unfortunate in some ways, given the lack of time that he’s had to prepare for this. 

Brian Schottenheimer, like Morris, has also kept his star quarterback from preseason action so far. Dak Prescott is an experienced veteran at this point, and the team knows exactly what to expect from him. Most importantly, they need to manage his return back into the team, having missed nine games last season following an injury in November. He’s ready for Week One, and it’s not worth the risk of playing him. That means the team will be continuing to give Joe Milton and Will Grier the keys to the offense. Milton has looked poor in preseason, but gets the start here with his HC wanting more opportunity to “find out more about [him].” It makes a lot of sense with Grier being a more known commodity but it only increases the likelihood of this being a game devoid of quality. 

The total points line for this game opened at 36.5 and has dropped to 35.5, but given that the Falcons have averaged 15 points scored in the preseason, and the Dallas Cowboys 17, it’s hard to see this game exploding into life. These are two teams that are almost entirely focused on starting the season in full health, as evidenced by their lineup decisions. With that in mind, you have to back the Under here.

Falcons vs Cowboys odds

  • Spread: Falcons +4 | Cowboys -4
  • Moneyline: Falcons +166 | Cowboys -199
  • Over/Under: Over 36 | Under 36

How to watch Falcons vs Cowboys

Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Date: Friday, 8-22, 2025
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: DAZN

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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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