Nate Diaz and Mike Perry return to the octagon in one of our featured undercard attractions of this weekend's inaugural MVP MMA event.
My Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry predictions expect the younger Perry to use his refined striking to notch the biggest win of his MMA career, set to be streamed on Netflix.
Let's dive into the latest Netflix MVP MMA odds for Saturday, May 16.
Diaz vs Perry fight prediction: Perry moneyline (-190)
In their MMA primes, Nate Diaz would have been favored as the more complete fighter, but the intangibles in this matchup heavily favor Mike Perry.
Perry reinvented himself through bare-knuckle boxing, becoming a BKFC champion while staying consistently active and sharpening his pressure-heavy striking style.
Diaz, meanwhile, is now 41 years old and has mostly remained active through novelty boxing appearances since leaving the UFC in 2022.
At this stage, it’s difficult to trust his pace and durability over a full fight against a fresher, more active opponent.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Diaz vs Perry best bet: Perry by decision (+190)
The toughness and durability Diaz is known for isn’t something he can fall back on this late in his career against a sharper, mobile striker.
Perry’s pressure and speed will quickly make their mark on the plodding Diaz, who will be marked up in short order. Ironically, Diaz’s best chance to win is if Perry treats this as an MMA fight and tries to shoot for takedowns, which won’t be necessary.
COVERS INTEL: Perry’s last UFC appearance was a lopsided decision loss to Daniel Rodriguez in 2021. Diaz last fought in the UFC at UFC 279, defeating Tony Ferguson in 2022.Nate Diaz vs Mike Perry odds
 |
||
|---|---|---|
| Method of Victory | Diaz | Perry |
| To win outright | +150 | -200 |
| To win by KO/TKO | +1100 | +195 |
| To win by decision | OTB | OTB |
| To win by submission | +425 | +2700 |
| Total rounds | Over 4.5 -115 |
Under 4.5 -105 |
Odds as of 5-15.
Bet on MVP MMA at BET99!
One of Canada's best sportsbooks for MMA betting, join BET99 and get up to $800 bonus bets back if your first bet doesn’t win when using our BET99 promo code COVERS99
*Not available in Ontario
Nate Diaz vs Mike Perry tale of the tape
| Diaz | Perry | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Age | 34 |
| 6-foot-0 | Height | 5-foot-10 |
| Welterweight | Weight Class | Welterweight |
| 76 inches | Reach | 71 inches |
| 21-13 | Record | 14-8 |
| 5 | Wins by KO | 11 |
| 12 | Wins by submission | 0 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
