Drake Maye Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

The Jets have done a good job of keeping QBs from torching them this season, and Drake Maye will have similar struggles.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Nov 12, 2025 • 09:32 ET • 4 min read
New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) runs in the pocket during the first quarter against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium.
Photo By - Imagn Images. New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10) runs in the pocket during the first quarter against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium.

The top and bottom of the AFC East meet on Thursday Night Football, with the New York Jets travelling to face the New England Patriots and their MVP candidate, Drake Maye, on November 13.

I’ve taken a long look at Drake Maye's odds and found the best way to bet on the young superstar.

Drake Maye prop pick

Drake Maye best bet: Under 241.5 passing yards (-110 at bet365)

Did anybody expect the New England Patriots to be this good, this soon? They’ve soared to the top of the division, and a large part of that has been the play of Drake Maye. 

His passing yard line for this game stands at 241.5, and upon first look, that’s a must-bet. However, there’s an issue: Maye's opposition on Thursday Night Football is a team finding real confidence with back-to-back wins. 

More importantly for us, the Jets have been very good against the pass this season. In fact, only seven teams are giving up fewer passing yards per game than Gang Green, who are averaging 190.8. 

The concern here is the Jets have consistently kept their passing yards allowed number low, unlike other teams like the Falcons, which fluctuate wildly each week.

Just one quarterback has thrown for 242 or more yards on this defense all season, and that was Aaron Rodgers back in Week 1. They’ve held Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield, Dak Prescott, and the rest Under the mark, and in a short week, it will happen again.

Drake Maye same-game parlay

Under 241.5 passing yards

Over 5.5 rush attempts

Hunter Henry anytime touchdown

Given the Jets’ ability to limit passing yards, this game could be closer than the odds suggest, in which case we’ll see Maye try to force his team over the line by using his legs.

He’s had six or more rushing attempts in seven of 10 games this season, including his previous five.

Hunter Henry has scored four times in 10 games this season and has only one fewer red zone target (nine) than the team’s leader Stefon Diggs. With the Jets giving up seven TDs to tight ends, it makes him a must add for SGP.

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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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