An AFC East rivalry will kick off Week 11’s NFL action with the New England Patriots playing host to the New York Jets, who are on a rare two-game win streak.
The Patriots are the biggest favorite of the week, coming in at -13, while the game has a total of 43.
While it’s always tempting to fade either of New York’s football teams, my Jets vs. Patriots predictions see a higher scoring game than the total indicates.
Here’s my NFL picks for Thursday Night Football on November 13.
Want to make sure Covers shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed?
Simply click here and add Covers as one of your "source preferences".
Jets vs Patriots prediction
Jets vs Patriots Best bet: Over 43 (-110)
High-scoring football and the New York Jets typically aren’t two things that associate with each other, but they’ve actually been a rock-solid Over bet going back to last season as it’s hit in 12 of their last 16 games.
This season, Jets games have averaged 48.5 points, with six of nine topping Thursday's mark of 43.
Recent scoring patterns in New England Patriots games also support the Over, as they’ve averaged 28.75 points per game over their last four. Seeing them cross the 30-point mark shouldn’t surprise anyone, especially with the Jets waving the white flag and offloading Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams at the trade deadline.
It’s not hard to make a case for New England and MVP-favorite quarterback Drake Maye lighting up the scoreboard, but bettors shouldn’t be surprised to see the Jets contribute to the scoring.
New York has surprisingly had four separate games this season where they’ve scored at least 27 points. The Patriots defense has been especially vulnerable in the red zone, where they rank dead last in opponent red-zone touchdown conversion percentage.
Getting to the red zone could be a challenge for the Jets, but New England does allow a lot of big chunk plays through the air, surrendering the third-most pass plays of 20 or more yards.
This total of 43 is too short considering both teams' recent form. The Patriots offense has found its rhythm, while the Jets have quietly been involved in plenty of high-scoring games.
Jets vs Patriots TNF same-game parlay
Maye has been doing damage through the air and on the ground, topping 238.5 passing yards in five of his last six games while logging at least seven rush attempts in five straight. His dual-threat ability keeps defenses off balance and opens up plenty of scoring chances near the goal line. That’s where Hunter Henry comes in, as one of Maye’s go-to red zone targets against a Jets defense that's allowed seven touchdowns to the tight end position.
Jets vs Patriots SGP
- Drake Maye Over 238.5 passing yards
- Drake Maye Over 5.5 rush attempts
- Hunter Henry anytime touchdown
Our big-ticket SGP: A recipe for scoring
New England has scored 15+ points in seven straight games, while the Jets are having a lot of success finding the end zone lately with 66 points across their last two games.
Jets vs Patriots SGP
- Drake Maye Over 238.5 passing yards
- Drake Maye Over 5.5 rush attempts
- Hunter Henry to score a touchdown
- Both teams to score 15+ points
Jets vs Patriots odds
- Spread: New York +13 | New England -13
- Moneyline: New York +575 | New England -850
- Over/Under: Over 43 | Under 43
Jets vs Patriots betting trend to know
The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+8.32 Units / 47% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Jets vs. Patriots.
How to watch Jets vs Patriots
| Location | Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA |
| Date | Thursday, November 13, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Amazon Prime |
Jets vs Patriots latest injuries
Jets vs Patriots weather
Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
