Vikings vs Chargers Props & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Justin Herbert is one of the best gunslingers in football when facing the blitz, and we expect the Chargers pivot to shine alongside slot wideout Ladd McConkey when they take the field in prime time.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Oct 22, 2025 • 16:27 ET • 4 min read
Justin Herbert Los Angeles Chargers NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10).

The Minnesota Vikings are set to face off against the Los Angeles Chargers on Thursday Night Football. 

Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores will dial up the pressure against a banged-up Bolts offensive line. 

That said, my Vikings vs. Chargers player props expect Justin Herbert and Ladd McConkey to take advantage of that pass rush. 

Here are my best NFL picks for October 23. 

Vikings vs Chargers TNF props

Player Pick bet365
Chargers Justin Herbert  Over 253.5 passing yards -110
Chargers Ladd McConkey Over 55.5 receiving yards -110
Vikings Jordan Mason Over 54.5 rushing yards -110

Justin Herbert Over 253.5 passing yards (-110)

With the Los Angeles Chargers' ground game in shambles, expect them to be extremely pass-heavy. 

Pro Bowl quarterback Justin Herbert is surrounded by a trio of talented wide receivers, and rookie tight end Oronde Gadsden has emerged as another threat. Herbert leads the NFL with 1,913 passing yards, and he's fresh off a game against the Colts where he completed 37-of-55 passes for 420 yards. 

On Thursday, the Bolts face a Minnesota Vikings defense that blitzes at the second-highest rate in the league and allowed 326 passing yards on just 23 pass attempts in Week 7.

Herbert boasted the fourth-best passing grade (87.4) against the blitz last year according to PFF, and he's fourth in that metric (83.9) entering Week 8.

Ladd McConkey Over 55.5 receiving yards (-110)

Ladd McConkey emerged as the Chargers' No. 1 WR as a rookie last year, racking up 106.8 receiving yards per game over his final eight regular-season and playoff contests. 

L.A. has more mouths to feed in its receiver corps this season, which has resulted in a slight downtick in McConkey's production. However, this is a matchup where he'll likely see a ton of targets. 

Although the Vikings do a good job at defending downfield passes, they can be carved up in the slot. Their blitz-happy defense tends to force opposing QBs to throw quick slants and shorter passes, which are areas where McConkey thrives. 

McConkey had seven receptions for 100 yards against Miami in Week 6, then hauled in nine of a team-high 15 targets for 67 yards last week.

Jordan Mason Over 54.5 rushing yards (-110)

Minnesota has designated running back Aaron Jones to return from the IR. The veteran was limited in practice on Tuesday, and I don't see him making much of an impact on a short week.

That means one more game with Jordan Mason leading the backfield. Mason has rushed for more than 55 yards in three of his last four games — including a 116-yard performance against the Bengals in Week 3. He's faced some solid defenses over the last few weeks, and he'll get a much easier matchup against the Chargers.

The Bolts are 27th in the league in defensive rush EPA and have surrendered 139.8 rushing yards per game over their last five contests. 

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Vikings vs Chargers TNF prop betting card

  • Herbert o253.5 passing yards (-110)
  • McConkey o55.5 receiving yards (-110)
  • Mason o54.5 rushing yards (-110)

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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