Week 11 kicks off with an AFC East matchup between the New York Jets and New England Patriots.
This game could get ugly quick — with a double-digit spread — but our NFL player prop projections still have found values in the TNF props, including betting some Overs (even if it's garbage time) for the Jets offense.
Jets vs Patriots computer picks for Thursday Night Football
 Jets |
 Patriots |
|---|---|
| Fields o136.5 pass -110 |
Maye o23.5 rush -110 |
| Hall o56.5 rush -110 |
Henderson o16.5 rec -110 |
| Hall o15.5 rec -110 |
Diggs u56.5 rec -110 |
| Taylor o33.5 rec -110 |
Henry o34.5 rec -110 |
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Jets TNF computer picks
Justin Fields Over 136.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 183.73 yards
The Jets are highly likely to be trailing by a lot in this game, so it should be a pass-happy (and garbage time) script... which our projections believe will lead to an easy Over on his passing total.
Alternate-total bet
175+ yards (+310) - This is showing phenomenal value. If you want something more conservative, 150+ yards also shows tremendous value at +145.
Breece Hall Over 56.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 63.78 yards
Hall has topped this number in five of his last six games, and we're projecting him to finish above his total again tonight.
Breece Hall Over 15.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 19.34 yards
We dare you to name a Jets receiver tonight (with Garrett Wilson out) — it's tough, isn't it? Thus, we're sticking with Hall, who has gone for 30+ receiving yards five times this season.
Alternate-total bet
20+ yards (+135) - This price shows a little value.
Mason Taylor Over 33.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 39.38 yards
The highest yardage total for New York tonight belongs to the rookie TE, and we're projecting him to finish above his modest total.
Alternate-total bet
40+ yards (+140) - This prop is an OK value at the price.
More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers
- Jets vs. Patriots predictions
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- Drake Maye odds and props
- Jets vs Patriots anytime TD picks
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Patriots TNF computer picks
Drake Maye Over 23.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 33.65 yards
Our projections aren't bullish on Maye's passing yards, but it does like him to top a rushing total that is below his per-game average.
Alternate-total bet
30+ yards (+145) - This number is a fantastic value.
TreVeyon Henderson Over 16.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 24.8 yards
The rookie is emerging as RB1 for the Pats, and we're projecting him to get back to being involved in the passing game tonight.
Stefon Diggs Under 56.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 53.3 yards
All of New England's WRs are probably capped in what could be a lopsided game (rather quickly), so we don't expect Diggs to have a big night.
Hunter Henry Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 39.07 yards
It's a modest total for the Pats TE, which our projections think he will finish above.
Not intended for use in MA.
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