Saturday's West Virginia vs. Texas Tech prediction tests whether the Red Raiders can repeat last year's 49-0 rout of the Mountaineers.
Texas Tech lays 17.5 points against a 65.5 total on November 7 at Galaxy Stadium in Lubbock, Texas, with kickoff at 9:30 p.m. ET.
A slow start could still lead to a decisive finish, as my Week 10 college football picks explain.
West Virginia vs Texas Tech predictions for Week 10
| Market | Pick |
|---|---|
| ⭐Moneyline/spread prediction | Texas Tech -17.5 |
| Over/Under prediction | Under 65.5 |
| Combo | 10.21x |
TOP PICK
Who will win West Virginia vs Texas Tech: Texas Tech -17.5
Give me the Texas Tech Red Raiders -17.5, up to -20.5 for trendy reasons.
The Red Raiders are 28-13-1 against the spread (ATS) in Big 12 games and 8-2 ATS after a bye week with a +8.1 spread differential since hiring head coach Joey McGuire in 2022. Those are the best ATS winning rates in the conference over that stretch.
Furthermore, Texas Tech is 4-0 ATS as 14-point favorites or greater in conference games with a +14.3 spread differential in McGuire's tenure. One of those covers was a 49-0 win as 24.5-point home favorites over the West Virginia Mountaineers last year.
With Texas Tech rested and historically crushing this exact type of spot, I'll ride the trend until it stops paying.
COVERS INTEL: West Virginia's defense ranks 131st in success rate allowed and 132nd in explosive plays allowed. Meanwhile, the Red Raiders allow just 3.1 yards per carry, a nightmare matchup for a Mountaineers offense that runs on 70.6% of its plays.West Virginia vs Texas Tech Over/Under pick: Under 65.5
The Under 65.5 is tradable down to 63.5 for style-based reasons.
West Virginia has the fifth-highest rushing rate nationally, and the Red Raiders have one of the best rushing defenses in the country. Both teams struggle in the red zone, especially Texas Tech, which ranks 95th in red-zone scoring rate. That means long drives that end in field goals or coin-flips on fourth down.
Also, the Mountaineers rank 116th in sack rate allowed. If the Red Raiders stuff the run and forces obvious passing downs, West Virginia will eat plenty of drive-killing sacks on third-and-long.
West Virginia vs Texas Tech combo
I’m looking for the Mountaineers to keep the first quarter close, the Red Raiders to pull away later, and the game to stay Under while it happens.
West Virginia can chew clock early and avoid falling behind too quickly. Once Texas Tech takes control, it can create separation without needing a track meet. That gives us all three legs: close early, comfortable late, and a scoreboard that never gets out of hand.
Hang around early, get buried late.
West Virginia vs Texas Tech combo
- Red Raiders -17.5
- Under 65.5
- West Virginia +4.5 1Q
- Top picks: 17-23, -7.44 units
- Combos: 4-36, -19.3 units
West Virginia vs Texas Tech odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: West Virginia +17.5 | Texas Tech -17.5
- Over/Under: Over 65.5 (54%) | Under 65.5 (51%)
- Moneyline: West Virginia 14% | Texas Tech 88%
For the full slate of college football matchups, check out our college football odds board!
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West Virginia vs Texas Tech weather
It'll be roughly 50° in Lubbock Saturday night with a light wind (four mph) and an 8% chance of rain.
Check out our college football weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
West Virginia vs Texas Tech trend to know
The Red Raiders have covered four of their last five games. Find more college football betting trends for West Virginia vs. Texas Tech.
or our BET99 promo code COVERS99 if you're in Canada.
How to watch West Virginia vs Texas Tech
| Location | Galaxy Stadium, Lubbock, TX |
| Date | Saturday, Nov. 7, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
West Virginia vs Texas Tech latest injuries
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