UMass vs Akron Prediction, Picks & Odds for November 4 — College Football Week 11

UMass hasn't won yet and won't start winning against Akron, who will cover the 10.5-point spread in midweek MACtion.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Nov 3, 2025 • 14:17 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 21 hrs
AKR
67 %
MASS
33 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Akron -10.5 (-115) Akron -10.5 (-115)
Read Analysis
Ben Finley Akron Zips NCAA College Football
Photo By - Imagn Images. Akron QB Ben Finley during a timeout.

The UMass Minutemen are on the road and in search of their first win of the season when they visit the Akron Zips.

It hasn’t been a banner year for the Zips, either, but they’re coming off a win and sit as 10.5-point favorites in the college football odds.

Our UMass vs Akron predictions have the Zips keeping the Minutemen winless in another big-deficit loss. Read below for my free college football picks for Tuesday, November 4.

Want to make sure Covers shows up often in your Google search results and Discover feed?
Simply click here and add Covers as one of your "source preferences".

UMass vs Akron prediction

UMass vs Akron best bet: Akron -10.5 (-115)

The Akron Zips are not anything near a scoring dynamo, but they’ve found better offense in recent weeks.

They just upended Buffalo 24-16, marking the third time in the last four games Akron has scored at least 24 points.

That’s a major improvement from their 18.8 average, which is weighed down by back-to-back shutout losses to start the year, and a pair of conference losses where they totaled just 10 points.

Scoring shouldn’t be a problem on Tuesday, as the UMass Minutemen have bled points en route to their current 0-8 record.

The Minutemen are surrendering a whopping 35.9 points per game, with only Kent State serving up more scoring in the Mid-American Conference.

The Zips should successfully throw it around the field, as UMass allows 256.1 yards passing (12th in the 13-team MAC).

It also doesn’t help that UMass is dead last in college football scoring, putting up just 11.5 points per contest. It's also last in total yards (253.9) and second-last in rush yards at 81.5 per contest.

UMass has lost three of its four conference games by at least 18 points, keeping it to a 7-point margin of defeat against Buffalo.

Akron will make it a fourth MAC opponent that’s hung a blowout on the struggling Minutemen in conference play this season.

UMass vs Akron same-game parlay

If there’s one quarter that you can actually find UMass competitive in, it’s the second. Over the last four games (all MAC opponents), the Minutemen have been tied or had the lead twice and trailed by a single point once.

Only against Western Michigan, its first foray into conference play, did UMass fail to cover within that 3.5-point range.

Akron has also been outscored in the second quarter in three of its five conference games.

UMass vs Akron SGP

  • Akron -10.5
  • Over 48.5
  • UMass +3.5 second quarter

Our deep-ball SGP: Zip to my lou

Akron QB Ben Finley has thrown for 235 yards or more in three of his last six starts. He should be right around that number again as he deals against the porous UMass pass defense.

One of the main beneficiaries of Finley's passes is receiver Israel Polk, who leads the Zips with five touchdowns on the year. He has three TD receptions over his last three games, and he'll be going against a pass defense that has surrendered 22 passing TDs on the year, which ranks last in the MAC.

UMass vs Akron SGP

  • Akron -10.5
  • Over 48.5
  • UMass +3.5 second quarter
  • Ben Finley Over 234.5 passing yards
  • Israel Polk anytime touchdown

UMass vs Akron odds

  • Spread: UMass +10.5 (-105) | Akron -10.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: UMass +350 | Akron -450
  • Over/Under: Over 49.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110)

UMass vs Akron trend to know

The Minutemen are 0-4 on the road, and have scored seven points or less in three of those games. Find more college football betting trends for UMass vs Akron.

How to watch UMass vs Akron

Location InfoCision Stadium, Akron, OH
Date Tuesday, November 4, 2025
Kickoff 7:00 p.m. ET
TV CBSSN

UMass vs Akron latest injuries

UMass vs Akron weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo