The Miami Hurricanes enter as heavy favorites on the road against the SMU Mustangs in a pivotal ACC showdown for both teams.
Quarterback Carson Beck appears to have bounced back from his four-interception outing against Louisville, and my Miami vs. SMU predictions expect him to toss a couple of touchdown passes against the Mustangs.
Read on for my college football picks for Saturday, November 1.
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Miami vs SMU prediction
Miami vs SMU best bet: Carson Beck Over 1.5 touchdown passes (+106)
Miami Hurricanes quarterback Carson Beck has thrown two or more touchdown passes in four of seven games and has rebounded from a rough four-interception outing against Louisville.
The SMU Mustangs' front seven is stout against the run, and we should expect Hurricane’s offensive coordinator Shannon Dawson to lean on Beck’s arm, and Beck is one of the best in the country.
He’s averaging 8.24 yards per attempt behind one of the nation’s best pass-blocking units, giving him ample time to find a highly talented WR room led by CJ Daniels.
Beck faces a Mustangs defense that’s been shredded through the air, allowing 303.5 passing yards per game, 16 passing touchdowns, and nearly 13 yards per completion.
Miami vs SMU same-game parlay
SMU quarterback Kevin Jennings can also sling the football. He’s thrown for more than 250 passing yards in six of his previous eight games.
Hurricane’s running back Mark Fletcher has nine touchdown scampers this season, with at least one TD in five of his previous six games.
Both offenses can put plenty of points on the scoreboard in a hurry, so I’ll take a shot at the Over.
Miami vs SMU SGP
- Carson Beck Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Kevin Jennings Over 249.5 passing yards
- Mark Fletcher Jr. anytime touchdown
- Over 50.5
Our deep-ball SGP: Plenty of points
Miami wideout CJ Daniels leads the Hurricanes in receiving touchdowns with six, and he's scored in two of his previous three games.
Beck has thrown for more than 250 passing yards in three of his previous six games.
Miami vs SMU SGP
- Carson Beck Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
- Kevin Jennings Over 249.5 passing yards
- Mark Fletcher Jr. anytime touchdown
- Over 50.5
- CJ Daniels anytime touchdown
- Carson Beck Over 249.5 passing yards
Miami vs SMU game predictions
Miami vs SMU moneyline prediction
Carson Beck and the Miami Hurricanes’ offense is too potent for the SMU Mustangs, and the Canes defense will get enough stops for Miami to win this game.
Miami vs SMU spread prediction
I’m leaning toward Miami, but only because the Hurricanes’ defense is better than the Mustangs' stop unit. Miami is 5-2-0 ATS and should win by two touchdowns.
Miami vs SMU Over/Under prediction
These offenses boast good offensive units with quarterbacks who can get the job done. We’ll go with the Over in this one.
Miami vs SMU odds
- Spread: Miami -10.5 | SMU +10.5
- Moneyline: Miami -400 | SMU +310
- Over/Under: Over 51.5 | Under 51.5
Miami vs SMU trend to know
Carson Beck has thrown at least two touchdown passes in four of his previous seven games. Find more college football betting trends for Miami vs SMU.
How to watch Miami vs SMU
| Location | Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX |
| Date | Saturday, November 1, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 12:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Miami vs SMU latest injuries
Miami vs SMU weather
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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