Boston College vs Notre Dame Picks & Props
BC vs ND Picks
NCAAF PicksNotre Dame -30.5, up to -32.5. The Irish own a massive trench edge, while BC's weak passing game should create repeated third-and-long situations against a defense that hasn't allowed any opponent to average 4.5 yards per carry.
Under 53.5, tradable down to 52.5. Notre Dame has held six opponents to 13 points or fewer, all with stronger adjusted offensive EPA than Boston College. Both offenses play slowly, limiting possessions and BC's scoring opportunities.
First-quarter Over 13.5, up to 58%. Notre Dame has gone Over in eight of its last 12 games, and the projected game script favors an early Irish scoring surge before a second-half slowdown against Boston College.
CJ Carr has a decent Heisman case as the best player on one of the best teams in the country but he needs to pile on some gaudy statistics to boost his resume. Boston College (106th in passing success rate allowed in their last four games, 113th in PFF's pass rush grade) is a prime opportunity to do just that.
The combo hinges on Notre Dame doing its damage early, then bleeding the clock with a comfortable lead. Boston College lacks the firepower to make this a shootout, creating a path to an Irish rout without a high-scoring finish.
BC vs ND Consensus Picks
57% picking Boston College
Total Picks BC 181, ND 136
BC vs ND Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
ND
C. Carr
(QB)
o249.5 Passing Yards
274.62 OVER
PROJECTION
+25.1
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
BC
M. McKenzie
(QB)
o162.5 Passing Yards
178.78 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.3
DIFFERENCE
24.58%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BC
M. McKenzie
(QB)
u37.5 Rushing Yards
29.59 UNDER
PROJECTION
-7.9
DIFFERENCE
26.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
BC
B. MacCormack III
(RB)
o33.5 Rushing Yards
43.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.5
DIFFERENCE
26.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ND
J. Walton
(RB)
o68.5 Rushing Yards
71.19 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
18.29%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ND
N. James Jr.
(RB)
o82.5 Rushing Yards
86.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.5
DIFFERENCE
16.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ND
M. Gilbert
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
53.32 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.8
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ND
J. Faison
(WR)
o59.5 Receiving Yards
79.82 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.3
DIFFERENCE
26.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ND
J. Greathouse
(WR)
o27.5 Receiving Yards
36.99 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.5
DIFFERENCE
25.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BC
J. Montague Jr.
(WR)
o17.5 Receiving Yards
26.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.0
DIFFERENCE
25.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
BC
J. Green
(WR)
o34.5 Receiving Yards
46.87 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.4
DIFFERENCE
25.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ND
J. Greathouse
(WR)
u2.5 Receptions
2.45 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
12.96%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in Fighting Irish last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 5-0 in Fighting Irish last 5 vs. ACC.
Over is 5-0 in Fighting Irish last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Fighting Irish last 5 games following a straight up win.
Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games as a favorite.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
ROI Trends
BC vs ND Top User Picks
'ASkinsFanInDixi' is picking Boston College to cover (+29.5)
ASkinsFanInDixi is #1 on picking games that Notre Dame is in with a record of (8-1-0) and +5850 units on the season.
'Rak2012' is picking Notre Dame to cover (-29.5)
Rak2012 is #10 on picking games that Notre Dame is in with a record of (5-2-0) and +3850 units on the season.
'jessestars' is picking Notre Dame to cover (-29.5)
jessestars is #4 on picking games that Boston College is in with a record of (5-3-0) and +3800 units on the season.
'dawgs91' is picking Notre Dame to cover (-29.5)
dawgs91 is #4 on picking games that Notre Dame is in with a record of (6-3-0) and +4800 units on the season.
'SNID' is picking Boston College to cover (+29.5)
SNID is #5 on picking games that Notre Dame is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.