College Football Picks Against the Spread for Week 4

Our Week 4 ATS college football picks take the points with Auburn against Oklahoma and Illinois against Indiana.

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst
Sep 16, 2025 • 11:31 ET • 4 min read
Jackson Arnold Auburn Tigers SEC college football
Photo By - Imagn Images. Jackson Arnold drops back to pass against South Alabama in Week 3.

We're entering the thick of conference play, and that means tight matchups in tough environments, including Auburn on the road against Oklahoma, Texas Tech taking on Utah, Michigan against Nebraska, and more.

I break down those matchups and pick a side in my Week 4 ATS college football picks below.

College football picks against the spread for Week 4

Matchup Pick
Texas Tech Texas Tech vs Utah Utah Texas Tech (+3.5)
Oregon State Oregon State vs Oregon Oregon Oregon (-35.5)
Michigan Michigan vs Nebraska Nebraska Nebraska (+2.5)
Auburn Auburn vs Oklahoma Oklahoma Auburn (+6.5)
South Carolina South Carolina vs Missouri Missouri Missouri (-13.5)
Illinois Illinois vs Indiana Indiana Illinois (+4.5)
Arizona State Arizona State vs Baylor Baylor Baylor (-1.5)
Wyoming Wyoming vs Colorado Colorado Wyoming (+13.5)
Michigan State Michigan State vs USC USC USC (-17..5)

Lines courtesy of FanDuel as of 9-16.

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Texas Tech vs Utah (-3.5): Texas Tech +3.5

This is a matchup with massive Big 12 implications, and it's one I can see going either way. If it stays beyond a field goal, take the points. 

Oregon State vs Oregon (-35.5): Oregon -35.5

I got bit laying a huge number with Oregon last week, but back at home, the Ducks will be eager to play sharp football before heading off to Penn State next week. Oregon State is 0-3 and lost 45-14 at Texas Tech last week. 

Michigan (-2.5) vs Nebraska: Nebraska +2.5

Bryce Underwood went 9/24 for 142 yards when Michigan played at Norman. Nebraska isn't Oklahoma, but until I see the freshman QB get it done on the road against a tough team, I'll be looking the other way.

Auburn vs Oklahoma (-6.5): Auburn +6.5

There's a Jackson Arnold revenge piece to this matchup, but even putting that aside, Auburn is playing well enough to give Oklahoma a real fight.

South Carolina vs Missouri (-13.5): Missouri -13.5

LaNorris Sellers left last week's game with a head injury, and with his status for this game uncertain, I'm inclined to lean Missouri's way. 

Illinois vs Indiana (-4.5): Illinois +4.5

This line says more about Illinois' No. 9 ranking than it does about Indiana. Still, I'll take the points with what I think is the slightly better team. 

Arizona State vs Baylor (-1.5): Baylor -1.5

Baylor's win at SMU is by far the most impressive thing either of these teams has done this season, and that has me leaning the way of the home team this weekend.

Wyoming vs Colorado (-13.5): Wyoming +13.5

Colorado is not playing steadily enough — look no further than its quarterback shuffle — to be trusted with a two-touchdown spread against 2-1 Wyoming.

Michigan State vs USC (-17.5): USC -17.5

You have to love the way USC is playing right now, and while the Spartans are also 3-0, their best win came in overtime against a Boston College team that's now 1-2.


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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Betting Analyst

In his four years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s golf and college football coverage. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and can be found across our site covering the Masters, college football futures, and more.

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