Auburn vs Oklahoma Prediction, Picks & Odds for September 20 — College Football Week 4

Farmer's prediction: With veteran quarterbacks at the helm, expect both sides to run up the score.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Sep 19, 2025 • 12:46 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 24 hrs
OKLA
65 %
AUB
35 %
Read Analysis
John Mateer Oklahoma Sooners NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Oklahoma Sooners quarterback John Mateer (10) carries the ball.

While Brent Venables made his reputation with ruthless defenses, it may be an impressive offense that steadies his tenure as the Oklahoma Sooners head coach.

Nonetheless, a valiant defensive effort will be necessary to slow the Auburn Tigers, led by their own NFL-caliber offensive line and experienced quarterback.

My Auburn vs. Oklahoma predictions and college football picks trust both offensive lines and both quarterbacks more than either defense, creating a relatively high-scoring afternoon in Norman at kickoff at 3:30 ET on Saturday, September 20.

Auburn vs Oklahoma prediction

Auburn vs Oklahoma best bet: Over 46.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

We got spoiled. We, as college football fans, forgot how chaotic quarterback play can be, particularly behind offensive lines still trying to find chemistry.

The universal pandemic eligibility waiver created an era of greater experience than ever before in college football, and enjoying veteran quarterbacks behind established offensive lines became borderline typical.

It is not any longer.

Unless, perhaps, you are Auburn and Oklahoma. The right side of the Tigers’ offensive line, in particular, may as well already be ready for the NFL. And the Sooners have regained the push that helped define much of their last 25 years.

Courtesy of the transfer portal, both Auburn and Oklahoma employ veteran quarterbacks, the Tigers in fact trotting out the Sooners’ former quarterback in Jackson Arnold.

Both Arnold and his counterpart, John Mateer, are more than capable of adding an extra hat to the rushing attack, furthering these offenses’ dynamic options.

Simply put, no matchup with offensive lines like these and quarterbacks like these should feature a total below 49.

Stop taking quality line play and impressive quarterback performances as the standard. They are not. And offenses that can reliably trust them should be trusted to score points, particularly if they need to keep up with each other.

Auburn vs Oklahoma same-game parlay

Auburn may have the best rush defense in the country. At least, to this point, it has statistically showed that kind of strength, so expect Mateer to finish drives through the air.

On the other side of the ball, the Tigers are better running the ball than throwing it, and that has often meant Arnold does everything for the offense.

Auburn vs Oklahoma SGP

  • Over 46.5
  • John Mateer Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
  • Jackson Arnold touchdown

Our deep-ball SGP: Sooners Come Out on Top

Arnold may simply need to do too much for Auburn these days.

At some point, Venables will find a way to stop the former Oklahoma quarterback, and then the Tigers will have no further recourse.

Meanwhile, the Sooners at least have a few notable receivers, and the threat of Deion Burks downfield should yield one tally.

Auburn vs Oklahoma SGP

  • Over 46.5
  • John Mateer Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
  • Jackson Arnold anytime touchdown
  • Deion Burks anytime touchdown
  • Oklahoma moneyline

Auburn vs Oklahoma odds

  • Spread: Auburn +6.5 | Oklahoma -6.5
  • Moneyline: Auburn +210 | Oklahoma -260
  • Over/Under: Over 46.5 | Under 46.5

Auburn vs Oklahoma trend to know

Venables won the coaching matchup with Hugh Freeze last year in all regards, winning 27-21 despite being a two-point road underdog. Find more college football betting trends for Auburn vs Oklahoma.

How to watch Auburn vs Oklahoma

Location Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Date Saturday, September 20, 2025
Kickoff 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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