The Atlanta Hawks will look to extend their four-game win streak when they host the Houston Rockets at State Farm Arena tonight.
Jalen Johnson has surged over his last five games, and my Rockets vs. Hawks predictions expect another strong showing from the do-it-all forward.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this inter-conference matchup on Thursday, January 29.
Rockets vs Hawks prediction
Rockets vs Hawks best bet: Jalen Johnson Over 39.5 points + rebounds + assists (-112)
Jalen Johnson is enjoying a career-best season, averaging 22.9 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 7.9 dimes, good for 41.3 PRA. He’s reached 40+ PRA in 27 of 45 games this season and 11 of 19 at home.
He's been even better as of late, averaging 44.6 PRA across his last five outings and hitting the Over on this combo line four times.
The Atlanta Hawks will play the second leg of a back-to-back set tonight, but Johnson has thrived in that situation all season. In seven games played with no rest, he’s reached 40+ PRA six times and averaged 47.6.
Johnson is hot right now, and he'll face a Houston Rockets team that's playing its second back-to-back set and fifth game in the last seven days. I expect him to stuff the stat sheet in front of the home crowd.
Rockets vs Hawks same-game parlay
The Hawks have won and covered in four straight and six of their last 10. The Rockets are just 3-7 ATS in that span, and the Rockets dropped a home game to the San Antonio Spurs last night.
Based on recent form, I'll back the home team to cover a small spread tonight.
The Rockets are 2-8 to the Under across their last 10, and the Hawks are 4-6 to the Under in that span.
Rockets vs Hawks SGP
- Jalen Johnson Over 39.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Hawks +3.5
- Under 225.5
Our "from downtown" SGP: Good Sheppard
Reed Sheppard shot 41.4% from beyond the arc over his first 42 games, but he's knocked down just 2-of-18 three-pointers across his last three games. He's due for a bounce-back performance against a middle-of-the-pack perimeter defense.
Rockets vs Hawks SGP
- Jalen Johnson Over 39.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Hawks +3.5
- Under 225.5
- Reed Sheppard Over 2.5 made 3-pointers
Rockets vs Hawks odds
- Spread: Houston -3.5 (-110) | Atlanta +3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Houston -160 | Atlanta +135
- Over/Under: Over 225.5 (-110) | Under 225.5 (-110)
Rockets vs Hawks betting trend to know
The Rockets have hit the Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.70 Units / 59% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Rockets vs. Hawks.
How to watch Rockets vs Hawks
| Location | State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Thursday, January 29, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Space City Home Network, FDSN Southeast Atlanta |
Rockets vs Hawks latest injuries
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