Pelicans vs Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Derik Queen will own the glass, and the Pelicans will clear the spread against the Giannis Antetokounmpo-less Bucks tonight in Milwaukee.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Feb 4, 2026 • 09:32 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 9 hrs
NO
41 %
MIL
59 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
New Orleans -4.5 (-115) New Orleans -4.5 (-115)
Read Analysis
Derik Queen New Orleans Pelicans NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pelicans C Derik Queen (22) greets fans after a game.

After snapping their five-game losing skid, the Milwaukee Bucks look to make it two straight wins when they host the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Pels have dropped the first two games of a four-game road trip, but taking on the Bucks without Giannis Antetokounmpo gives them the edge against the spread in my Pelicans vs. Bucks predictions and NBA picks on Wednesday, February 4.

Pelicans vs Bucks prediction

Pelicans vs Bucks best bet: Pelicans -4.5 (-115)

Life without Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) hasn’t been great, as the Milwaukee Bucks dropped three straight before beating the Bulls 131-115 on Tuesday.

That point total is an outlier, though, as the Bucks had been averaging just 100 points per game across their previous three outings.

They’re 1-3-0 against the spread without their star, but the ship wasn’t right with "The Greek Freak" at the helm, either, with Milwaukee going just 2-8-0 ATS in its last 10.

The New Orleans Pelicans are struggling too, dropping three of four and averaging just 104.5 points per game, which ranks fourth-worst in the NBA over that span.

The one advantage they do have, and have maxed out on, is playing with a rest advantage.

The Pels are 5-2-0 ATS in that scenario, the second-best mark in the league. Throw in the fact they’ve covered two of the last three against the Bucks, plus no Giannis, and this feels like a good cover for New Orleans, which is 4-2-0 ATS  in its previous six road games.

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Pelicans vs Bucks same-game parlay

A Kyle Kuzma scoring binge is a great time to wager the Under on his scoring line. He’s gone for 25+ three times this season, and he’s scored 13 points or less in the follow-up, going for single digits twice.

Trey Murphy III is coming off a 27-point effort last game against Charlotte, but his 22.5-point scoring line is a little inflated, considering he’s topped that mark just twice in his last eight.

Pelicans vs Bucks SGP

  • Pelicans -4.5
  • Kyle Kuzma Under 17.5 points
  • Trey Murphy III Under 22.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Queen of the Court

Bucks guard Ryan Rollins scored 21 against Chicago and has gone for 20+ in four of his last five, making his 19.5 line very gettable.

And Derik Queen has worked the glass well of late, pulling down at least seven rebounds in four of his last six games. Milwaukee is also a Bottom-4 rebounding team in the NBA.

Pelicans vs Bucks SGP

  • Pelicans -4.5
  • Kyle Kuzma Under 17.5 points
  • Trey Murphy III Under 22.5 points
  • Ryan Rollins Over 19.5 points
  • Derik Queen Over 7.5 rebounds

Pelicans vs Bucks odds

  • Spread: Pelicans -4.5 (-115) | Bucks +4.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Pelicans -185 | Bucks +155
  • Over/Under: Over 222.5 (-110) | Under 222.5 (-110)

Pelicans vs Bucks betting trend to know

New Orleans has covered the spread in each of its last seven games as a favorite. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Bucks.

How to watch Pelicans vs Bucks

Location Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Date Wednesday, February 4, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV Pelicans+, FDSN Wisconsin

Pelicans vs Bucks latest injuries

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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