The Dallas Mavericks have waved the white flag with 10 straight losses, but they’ll be hard-pressed to out-tank the Indiana Pacers as the teams square off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse today.
At 15-42, Indiana has the inside track on a high lottery pick, and my Mavericks vs. Pacers predictions expect both squads to struggle to create good looks without their sidelined playmakers.
Read on for my free NBA picks ahead of this February 22 basement battle.
Mavericks vs Pacers prediction
Mavericks vs Pacers best bet: Under 234 (-110)
The injury reports for the Dallas Mavericks and Indiana Pacers are a reminder that there’s every incentive to keep their top playmakers on the sidelines. Both squads have peppered the Under this season, and it feels like one of the best picks on the board today.
The Under is 15-9 in Dallas’ 24 road outings, and Cooper Flagg’s absence hurts the visitors’ offensive flow. Meanwhile, Indiana will be short on shot creators if Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard sit out.
The Mavs eked out a 107-105 win over the Pacers in October, and I’m not counting on fireworks in this rematch.
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Mavericks vs Pacers same-game parlay
With the Pacers’ first-choice starting lineup all on the injury report, I like the value of the Mavs moneyline here, despite the visitors’ recent skid. Dallas still has some gritty veterans available, while Indiana limps into this clash on the heels of back-to-back losses to the Washington Wizards. Enough said.
Even if this descends into a rock fight at times, Naji Marshall is a candidate for a nice stat line, and I’ll grab the Over on his rebounds tally. He finished with eight boards earlier this month against the Boston Celtics, and his minutes could hit the mid 30s today.
Mavericks vs Pacers SGP
- Under 234
- Mavericks moneyline
- Marshall Over 6.5 rebounds
Our "from downtown" SGP: Huffing and puffing
Look for Marshall to have his fingerprints all over this contest, and Dallas’ injury woes should prompt an uptick in his February averages of 4.7 RPG and 3.3 APG.
In the same way, Indiana will hand Jay Huff all the minutes he can handle. Huff drilled five 3-pointers against the Wizards on Friday, and his size will be key for the depleted Pacers on the glass.
Mavericks vs Pacers SGP
- Marshall Over 6.5 rebounds
- Marshall Over 3.5 assists
- Huff Over 5.5 rebounds
- Huff Over 1.5 threes
Mavericks vs Pacers odds
- Spread: Mavericks -2 | Pacers +2
- Moneyline: Mavericks -130 | Pacers +110
- Over/Under: Over 234 | Under 234
Mavericks vs Pacers betting trend to know
The Under is 33-24 for the Pacers this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Pacers.
How to watch Mavericks vs Pacers
| Location | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
| Date | Sunday, February 22, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 5:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | MavsTV, FDSN Indiana |
Mavericks vs Pacers latest injuries
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