My Pacers vs. 76ers prediction expects a low-scoring game when the Indiana Pacers visit the Philadelphia 76ers in the early window at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday, Nov. 15, with two teams that have struggled on offense and locked down on defense.
With Philadelphia's big-man depth razor thin, I'm targeting points and rebounds props for Ivica Zubac in my NBA picks. I'm also counting on LeBron James to pick up the slack on the glass and Tyrese Maxey to stay productive as a scorer.
TOP PICK
Pacers vs 76ers prediction: Under 224.5
Current price: 50%. Trade to 223.5.
The Indiana Pacers rank 22nd in offensive rating (110.1), and the Philadelphia 76ers rank 20th (111). Both teams are tied for 20th in scoring at just 111.2 ppg. Neither team has been particularly productive on offense, but both teams have been strong defensively.
The Pacers rank 11th in defensive rating (111.7), and the 76ers rank seventh (109.5). Philadelphia has surrendered just 109.4 ppg, while Indiana has given up 113.2, good for a combined 222.6.
Indiana's injury list is among the longest in the Association, and the 76ers will be without Joel Embiid, further limiting the offensive firepower on both sides. The Under has hit in six of the last seven head-to-head matchups between these two teams.
COVERS INTEL: The 76ers' offense hasn't been as productive without Joel Embiid this season, sporting a 112.5 offensive rating and scoring 113 ppg with him compared to a 108.6 rating and 101 ppg without him. That's not just a recent trend. Since 2021-22, the 76ers have a 117.5 offensive rating and 114.7 ppg with Embiid compared to a 113.4 offensive rating and 110.7 ppg without him.
Pacers vs 76ers combo
With Philadelphia's center depth depleted, the team will rotate Jabari Walker, LeBron James and Dean Wade, creating a size mismatch for the seven-foot Zubac. The big man has grabbed 10+ rebounds in five of eight games this season, including three of his last four.
James is Philly's second-leading rebounder behind Embiid, and he's grabbed 6+ in seven of 10 appearances this season. The 76ers rank 23rd in field goal percentage at 45%, and both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in three-point percentage. Expect plenty of missed shots, leading to additional rebounding opportunities for James, who will likely play some small-ball center out of necessity.
Pacers vs 76ers combo
- Ivica Zubac Over 9.5 rebounds
- LeBron James Over 5.5 rebounds
- Under 224.5
Pacers vs 76ers player props
Pacers player prop: Ivica Zubac Over 14.5 points
Play to 15.5.
Philadelphia's defensive attention will be on leading scorer Pascal Siakam, freeing up additional looks for the big man.
Over the last three games, Zubac ranks second in ppg (16) behind Siakam (25.3), and he's scored 15+ twice in that span.
With key scorers Aaron Nesmith and Andrew Nembhard banged up, Zubac will need to shoulder more offensive responsibilities in this one. He's got a favorable matchup in the paint with all of Philadelphia's three best center options sidelined.
76ers player prop: Tyrese Maxey Over 24.5 points
Trade to 25.5.
Maxey is averaging 26.7 ppg, and he's scored 25+ in 10 of 13 games, including six of seven at home, where he's averaging 27.3. Since last season, Maxey has averaged 28.4 ppg with Joel Embiid sidelined. He scored 29 and 38 in the two games Embiid missed this season.
Maxey leads Philly in scoring and FGA (18.1), and his 26.7 usage rate is behind only Embiid (27.7) for the team lead.
- Top picks: 6-13, -7.16 units
- Combos: 0-19, -19.00 units
- Props: 13-23, -10.42 units
Pacers vs 76ers odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Pacers +6.5 (52%) | 76ers -6.5 (49%)
- Over/Under: Over 224.5 (51%) | Under 224.5 (50%)
- Moneyline: Pacers 28% | 76ers 73%
Check the latest NBA odds for more on today's Pacers vs. 76ers matchup.
Pacers vs 76ers trend
The Pacers have cashed the Under in six of their last seven games. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Pacers vs 76ers
| Location | Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pa. |
| Date | Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026 |
| Tip off | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV | DAZN-Indiana, NBCS-Philadelphia |
Pacers vs 76ers latest injuries
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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